Chelsea F.C.vs
Arsenal F.C.Chelsea F.C. vs Arsenal F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSat, 13 Mar 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Arsenal F.C.46%
- Chelsea F.C.
- Draw
- Arsenal F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Arsenal F.C., rating it at 46.1% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Chelsea F.C. won none of them. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
They arrive from very different football. Chelsea F.C.'s last 5 produced 26 goals — 5.2 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Arsenal F.C.'s 5 produced 15, at 3.0 per game.
What to keep in mind
- Chelsea F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 5.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 23 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 171 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Chelsea F.C.: LDWLW
Arsenal F.C.: LWWWW
Head-to-head
As of 23 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 171 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 3.10Avg goals
- 70%Both scored
- 60%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Arsenal F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2026-03-01 | Arsenal F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2025-11-30 | Chelsea F.C. vs Arsenal F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2025-03-16 | Arsenal F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. | 1–0 |
| 2024-11-10 | Chelsea F.C. vs Arsenal F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2024-04-23 | Arsenal vs Chelsea FC | 5–0 |
| 2023-10-21 | Chelsea FC vs Arsenal | 2–2 |
| 2023-05-02 | Arsenal vs Chelsea FC | 3–1 |
| 2022-11-06 | Chelsea FC vs Arsenal | 0–1 |
| 2022-04-20 | Chelsea FC vs Arsenal | 2–4 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Chelsea F.C. vs Arsenal F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Arsenal F.C. (46% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Chelsea F.C. vs Arsenal F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 13 Mar 2027 15:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Chelsea F.C. vs Arsenal F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 3 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.10 goals per game.