Chelsea F.C.vs
Burnley F.C.Chelsea F.C. 1-1 Burnley F.C. — Result, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSat, 21 Feb 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Chelsea F.C.70%
- Chelsea F.C.
- Draw
- Burnley F.C.
Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Chelsea F.C., rating it at 69.8% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and Chelsea F.C. won 1 of 8, with 3 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
They arrive from very different football. Chelsea F.C.'s last 5 produced 26 goals — 5.2 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Burnley F.C.'s 5 produced 13, at 2.6 per game.
What to keep in mind
- Chelsea F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 5.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 23 Sep 2026.
Chelsea F.C.: LDWLW
Burnley F.C.: DLDLD
Head-to-head
As of 23 Sep 2026.
- 8Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-21 | Chelsea F.C. vs Burnley F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2025-11-22 | Burnley F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. | 0–2 |
| 2024-03-30 | Chelsea FC vs Burnley | 2–2 |
| 2023-10-07 | Burnley vs Chelsea FC | 1–4 |
| 2022-03-05 | Burnley vs Chelsea FC | 0–4 |
| 2021-11-06 | Chelsea FC vs Burnley | 1–1 |
| 2021-01-31 | Chelsea FC vs Burnley | 2–0 |
| 2020-10-31 | Burnley vs Chelsea FC | 0–3 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Chelsea F.C. vs Burnley F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Chelsea F.C. (70% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Chelsea F.C. vs Burnley F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 21 Feb 2026 15:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Chelsea F.C. vs Burnley F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 1 home wins, 3 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.