Chelsea F.C. vs Crystal Palace F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
English Premier LeagueWed, 02 Dec 2026 20:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Chelsea F.C.56%
- Chelsea F.C. 56%
- Draw 27%
- Crystal Palace F.C. 17%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Chelsea F.C., rating it at 55.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Chelsea F.C. won 1 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Chelsea F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Chelsea F.C.: LWLWL
Crystal Palace F.C.: WDLLW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 2.30Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-25 | Crystal Palace F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. | 1–3 |
| 2025-08-17 | Chelsea F.C. vs Crystal Palace F.C. | 0–0 |
| 2025-01-04 | Crystal Palace F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2024-09-01 | Chelsea F.C. vs Crystal Palace F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2024-02-12 | Crystal Palace vs Chelsea FC | 1–3 |
| 2023-12-27 | Chelsea FC vs Crystal Palace | 2–1 |
| 2023-01-15 | Chelsea FC vs Crystal Palace | 1–0 |
| 2022-10-01 | Crystal Palace vs Chelsea FC | 1–2 |
| 2022-02-19 | Crystal Palace vs Chelsea FC | 0–1 |
| 2021-08-14 | Chelsea FC vs Crystal Palace | 3–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Chelsea F.C. vs Crystal Palace F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Chelsea F.C. (56% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Chelsea F.C. vs Crystal Palace F.C. kick off?
- Wed, 02 Dec 2026 20:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Chelsea F.C. vs Crystal Palace F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 3 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 2.30 goals per game.