Crystal Palace F.C.vs
Chelsea F.C.Crystal Palace F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueWed, 06 Jan 2027 20:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Chelsea F.C.38%
- Crystal Palace F.C.
- Draw
- Chelsea F.C.
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.
More markets
Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Crystal Palace F.C. or draw62%
- Draw or Chelsea F.C.68%
- Crystal Palace F.C. or Chelsea F.C.69%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.547%
- Under 2.553%
Both teams to score
- Crystal Palace F.C., last 10 home games5 of 10
- Chelsea F.C., last 10 away games7 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (370 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Chelsea F.C., rating it at 37.8% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Crystal Palace F.C. won none of them. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
They arrive from very different football. Chelsea F.C.'s last 5 produced 25 goals — 5.0 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Crystal Palace F.C.'s 5 produced 15, at 3.0 per game.
What to keep in mind
- Chelsea F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 5.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 84 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Crystal Palace F.C.: WLDWL
Chelsea F.C.: WLDWL
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 84 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 2.30Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-25 | Crystal Palace F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. | 1–3 |
| 2025-08-17 | Chelsea F.C. vs Crystal Palace F.C. | 0–0 |
| 2025-01-04 | Crystal Palace F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2024-09-01 | Chelsea F.C. vs Crystal Palace F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2024-02-12 | Crystal Palace vs Chelsea FC | 1–3 |
| 2023-12-27 | Chelsea FC vs Crystal Palace | 2–1 |
| 2023-01-15 | Chelsea FC vs Crystal Palace | 1–0 |
| 2022-10-01 | Crystal Palace vs Chelsea FC | 1–2 |
| 2022-02-19 | Crystal Palace vs Chelsea FC | 0–1 |
| 2021-08-14 | Chelsea FC vs Crystal Palace | 3–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Crystal Palace F.C. vs Chelsea F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Chelsea F.C. (38% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Crystal Palace F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. kick off?
- Wed, 06 Jan 2027 20:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Crystal Palace F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 3 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 2.30 goals per game.