Chelsea F.C. vs Everton F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSat, 15 May 2027 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Chelsea F.C.56%
- Chelsea F.C.
- Draw
- Everton F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Chelsea F.C., rating it at 56.0% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Chelsea F.C. won 2 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
They arrive from very different football. Chelsea F.C.'s last 5 produced 26 goals — 5.2 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Everton F.C.'s 5 produced 8, at 1.6 per game.
What to keep in mind
- Chelsea F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 5.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 23 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 234 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Chelsea F.C.: LDWLW
Everton F.C.: WWDDD
Head-to-head
As of 23 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 234 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 2.20Avg goals
- 20%Both scored
- 30%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | Everton F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. | 3–0 |
| 2025-12-13 | Chelsea F.C. vs Everton F.C. | 2–0 |
| 2025-04-26 | Chelsea F.C. vs Everton F.C. | 1–0 |
| 2024-12-22 | Everton F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. | 0–0 |
| 2024-04-15 | Chelsea FC vs Everton | 6–0 |
| 2023-12-10 | Everton vs Chelsea FC | 2–0 |
| 2023-03-18 | Chelsea FC vs Everton | 2–2 |
| 2022-08-06 | Everton vs Chelsea FC | 0–1 |
| 2022-05-01 | Everton vs Chelsea FC | 1–0 |
| 2021-12-16 | Chelsea FC vs Everton | 1–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Chelsea F.C. vs Everton F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Chelsea F.C. (56% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Chelsea F.C. vs Everton F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 15 May 2027 14:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Chelsea F.C. vs Everton F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 6 home wins, 3 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.20 goals per game.