Chelsea F.C.vs
Hull City A.F.C.Chelsea F.C. vs Hull City A.F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSat, 12 Sep 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Chelsea F.C.58%
- Chelsea F.C. 58%
- Draw 25%
- Hull City A.F.C. 16%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Chelsea F.C., rating it at 58.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
They arrive from very different football. Chelsea F.C.'s last 5 produced 24 goals — 4.8 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. Hull City A.F.C.'s 5 produced 7, at 1.4 per game.
The model puts the draw at 25.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Chelsea F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.8 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 11 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Chelsea F.C.: WWWWD
Hull City A.F.C.: WDWDL
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Chelsea F.C. vs Hull City A.F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Chelsea F.C. (58% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Chelsea F.C. vs Hull City A.F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 12 Sep 2026 14:00 GMT — English Premier League.