Chelsea F.C.vs
Newcastle United F.C.Chelsea F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSat, 02 Jan 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Chelsea F.C. to win50%
1X2: model backs Chelsea F.C. at 50%.
- Chelsea F.C.
- Draw
- Newcastle United F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Chelsea F.C. or draw78%
- Draw or Newcastle United F.C.50%
- Chelsea F.C. or Newcastle United F.C.72%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.556%
- Under 2.544%
Both teams to score
- Chelsea F.C., last 10 home games7 of 10
- Newcastle United F.C., last 10 away games6 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (370 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Chelsea F.C., rating it at 50.0% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Chelsea F.C. won 1 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
What to keep in mind
- Chelsea F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 5.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 80 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Chelsea F.C.: WLDWL
Newcastle United F.C.: LWLWD
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 80 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 2.70Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | Chelsea F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C. | 0–1 |
| 2025-12-20 | Newcastle United F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. | 2–2 |
| 2025-05-11 | Newcastle United F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. | 2–0 |
| 2024-10-27 | Chelsea F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2024-03-11 | Chelsea FC vs Newcastle | 3–2 |
| 2023-11-25 | Newcastle vs Chelsea FC | 4–1 |
| 2023-05-28 | Chelsea FC vs Newcastle | 1–1 |
| 2022-11-12 | Newcastle vs Chelsea FC | 1–0 |
| 2022-03-13 | Chelsea FC vs Newcastle | 1–0 |
| 2021-10-30 | Newcastle vs Chelsea FC | 0–3 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Chelsea F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Chelsea F.C. (50% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Chelsea F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 02 Jan 2027 15:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Chelsea F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 6 home wins, 2 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.70 goals per game.