Chelsea F.C.vs
Newcastle United F.C.Chelsea F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSat, 02 Jan 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Chelsea F.C.50%
- Chelsea F.C.
- Draw
- Newcastle United F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Chelsea F.C., rating it at 50.0% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Chelsea F.C. won 1 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
They arrive from very different football. Chelsea F.C.'s last 5 produced 26 goals — 5.2 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Newcastle United F.C.'s 5 produced 15, at 3.0 per game.
What to keep in mind
- Chelsea F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 5.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 23 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 101 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Chelsea F.C.: LDWLW
Newcastle United F.C.: WLWDW
Head-to-head
As of 23 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 101 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 2.70Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | Chelsea F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C. | 0–1 |
| 2025-12-20 | Newcastle United F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. | 2–2 |
| 2025-05-11 | Newcastle United F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. | 2–0 |
| 2024-10-27 | Chelsea F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2024-03-11 | Chelsea FC vs Newcastle | 3–2 |
| 2023-11-25 | Newcastle vs Chelsea FC | 4–1 |
| 2023-05-28 | Chelsea FC vs Newcastle | 1–1 |
| 2022-11-12 | Newcastle vs Chelsea FC | 1–0 |
| 2022-03-13 | Chelsea FC vs Newcastle | 1–0 |
| 2021-10-30 | Newcastle vs Chelsea FC | 0–3 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Chelsea F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Chelsea F.C. (50% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Chelsea F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 02 Jan 2027 15:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Chelsea F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 6 home wins, 2 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.70 goals per game.