Chelsea F.C.vs
Newcastle United F.C.Chelsea F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
English Premier LeagueSat, 02 Jan 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Chelsea F.C.50%
- Chelsea F.C. 50%
- Draw 28%
- Newcastle United F.C. 22%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Chelsea F.C., rating it at 50.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Chelsea F.C. won 1 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Chelsea F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Chelsea F.C.: LWLWL
Newcastle United F.C.: LDWLW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 2.70Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | Chelsea F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C. | 0–1 |
| 2025-12-20 | Newcastle United F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. | 2–2 |
| 2025-05-11 | Newcastle United F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. | 2–0 |
| 2024-10-27 | Chelsea F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2024-03-11 | Chelsea FC vs Newcastle | 3–2 |
| 2023-11-25 | Newcastle vs Chelsea FC | 4–1 |
| 2023-05-28 | Chelsea FC vs Newcastle | 1–1 |
| 2022-11-12 | Newcastle vs Chelsea FC | 1–0 |
| 2022-03-13 | Chelsea FC vs Newcastle | 1–0 |
| 2021-10-30 | Newcastle vs Chelsea FC | 0–3 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Chelsea F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Chelsea F.C. (50% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Chelsea F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 02 Jan 2027 15:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Chelsea F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 6 home wins, 2 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.70 goals per game.