Newcastle United F.C.vs
Chelsea F.C.Newcastle United F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueWed, 10 Feb 2027 20:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Newcastle United F.C.40%
- Newcastle United F.C.
- Draw
- Chelsea F.C.
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Newcastle United F.C., rating it at 39.7% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Newcastle United F.C. won 2 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
They arrive from very different football. Chelsea F.C.'s last 5 produced 26 goals — 5.2 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Newcastle United F.C.'s 5 produced 15, at 3.0 per game.
What to keep in mind
- Chelsea F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 5.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 23 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 140 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Newcastle United F.C.: WLWDW
Chelsea F.C.: LDWLW
Head-to-head
As of 23 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 140 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 2.70Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | Chelsea F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C. | 0–1 |
| 2025-12-20 | Newcastle United F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. | 2–2 |
| 2025-05-11 | Newcastle United F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. | 2–0 |
| 2024-10-27 | Chelsea F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2024-03-11 | Chelsea FC vs Newcastle | 3–2 |
| 2023-11-25 | Newcastle vs Chelsea FC | 4–1 |
| 2023-05-28 | Chelsea FC vs Newcastle | 1–1 |
| 2022-11-12 | Newcastle vs Chelsea FC | 1–0 |
| 2022-03-13 | Chelsea FC vs Newcastle | 1–0 |
| 2021-10-30 | Newcastle vs Chelsea FC | 0–3 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Newcastle United F.C. vs Chelsea F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Newcastle United F.C. (40% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Newcastle United F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. kick off?
- Wed, 10 Feb 2027 20:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Newcastle United F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 6 home wins, 2 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.70 goals per game.