Newcastle United F.C.vs
Chelsea F.C.Newcastle United F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueWed, 10 Feb 2027 20:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Newcastle United F.C.40%
- Newcastle United F.C.
- Draw
- Chelsea F.C.
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Newcastle United F.C. or draw69%
- Draw or Chelsea F.C.60%
- Newcastle United F.C. or Chelsea F.C.71%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.555%
- Under 2.545%
Both teams to score
- Newcastle United F.C., last 10 home games9 of 10
- Chelsea F.C., last 10 away games7 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (370 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Newcastle United F.C., rating it at 39.7% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Newcastle United F.C. won 2 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
What to keep in mind
- Chelsea F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 5.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 120 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Newcastle United F.C.: LWLWD
Chelsea F.C.: WLDWL
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 120 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 2.70Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | Chelsea F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C. | 0–1 |
| 2025-12-20 | Newcastle United F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. | 2–2 |
| 2025-05-11 | Newcastle United F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. | 2–0 |
| 2024-10-27 | Chelsea F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2024-03-11 | Chelsea FC vs Newcastle | 3–2 |
| 2023-11-25 | Newcastle vs Chelsea FC | 4–1 |
| 2023-05-28 | Chelsea FC vs Newcastle | 1–1 |
| 2022-11-12 | Newcastle vs Chelsea FC | 1–0 |
| 2022-03-13 | Chelsea FC vs Newcastle | 1–0 |
| 2021-10-30 | Newcastle vs Chelsea FC | 0–3 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Newcastle United F.C. vs Chelsea F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Newcastle United F.C. (40% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Newcastle United F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. kick off?
- Wed, 10 Feb 2027 20:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Newcastle United F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 6 home wins, 2 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.70 goals per game.