Chelsea F.C.vs
West Ham United F.C.Chelsea F.C. 3-2 West Ham United F.C. — Result, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSat, 31 Jan 2026 17:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Chelsea F.C.60%
- Chelsea F.C. 60%
- Draw 22%
- West Ham United F.C. 19%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Chelsea F.C., rating it at 59.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Chelsea F.C. won 4 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 21.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Chelsea F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.8 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026.
Chelsea F.C.: WWWWD
West Ham United F.C.: DWLD
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026.
- 10Games
- 3.70Avg goals
- 70%Both scored
- 80%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 | Chelsea F.C. vs West Ham United F.C. | 3–2 |
| 2025-08-22 | West Ham United F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. | 1–5 |
| 2025-02-03 | Chelsea F.C. vs West Ham United F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2024-09-21 | West Ham United F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. | 0–3 |
| 2024-05-05 | Chelsea FC vs West Ham United | 5–0 |
| 2023-08-20 | West Ham United vs Chelsea FC | 3–1 |
| 2023-02-11 | West Ham United vs Chelsea FC | 1–1 |
| 2022-09-03 | Chelsea FC vs West Ham United | 2–1 |
| 2022-04-24 | Chelsea FC vs West Ham United | 1–0 |
| 2021-12-04 | West Ham United vs Chelsea FC | 3–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Chelsea F.C. vs West Ham United F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Chelsea F.C. (60% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Chelsea F.C. vs West Ham United F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 31 Jan 2026 17:30 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Chelsea F.C. vs West Ham United F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 7 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.70 goals per game.