Crystal Palace F.C.vs
Burnley F.C.Crystal Palace F.C. vs Burnley F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
English Premier LeagueWed, 11 Feb 2026 19:40 GMTStatus: finished
Final: Crystal Palace F.C. 2–3 Burnley F.C.
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Crystal Palace F.C.59%
- Crystal Palace F.C. 59%
- Draw 24%
- Burnley F.C. 18%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Crystal Palace F.C., rating it at 58.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and Crystal Palace F.C. won 1 of 8, with 2 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 23.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Crystal Palace F.C.: WDLLW
Burnley F.C.: DLLDL
Head-to-head
- 8Games
- 2.88Avg goals
- 38%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-11 | Crystal Palace F.C. vs Burnley F.C. | 2–3 |
| 2025-12-03 | Burnley F.C. vs Crystal Palace F.C. | 0–1 |
| 2024-02-24 | Crystal Palace vs Burnley | 3–0 |
| 2023-11-04 | Burnley vs Crystal Palace | 0–2 |
| 2022-02-26 | Crystal Palace vs Burnley | 1–1 |
| 2021-11-20 | Burnley vs Crystal Palace | 3–3 |
| 2021-02-13 | Crystal Palace vs Burnley | 0–3 |
| 2020-11-23 | Burnley vs Crystal Palace | 1–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Crystal Palace F.C. vs Burnley F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Crystal Palace F.C. (59% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Crystal Palace F.C. vs Burnley F.C. kick off?
- Wed, 11 Feb 2026 19:40 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Crystal Palace F.C. vs Burnley F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 2 home wins, 2 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 2.88 goals per game.