Crystal Palace F.C.vs
Manchester City F.C.Crystal Palace F.C. vs Manchester City F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
English Premier LeagueSat, 29 Aug 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Manchester City F.C.63%
- Crystal Palace F.C. 15%
- Draw 23%
- Manchester City F.C. 63%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Manchester City F.C., rating it at 62.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Crystal Palace F.C. won none of them. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 22.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Crystal Palace F.C.: WWDLL
Manchester City F.C.: WDLDW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 3.60Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 70%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-13 | Manchester City F.C. vs Crystal Palace F.C. | 3–0 |
| 2025-12-14 | Crystal Palace F.C. vs Manchester City F.C. | 0–3 |
| 2025-04-12 | Manchester City F.C. vs Crystal Palace F.C. | 5–2 |
| 2024-12-07 | Crystal Palace F.C. vs Manchester City F.C. | 2–2 |
| 2024-04-06 | Crystal Palace vs Manchester City | 2–4 |
| 2023-12-16 | Manchester City vs Crystal Palace | 2–2 |
| 2023-03-11 | Crystal Palace vs Manchester City | 0–1 |
| 2022-08-27 | Manchester City vs Crystal Palace | 4–2 |
| 2022-03-14 | Crystal Palace vs Manchester City | 0–0 |
| 2021-10-30 | Manchester City vs Crystal Palace | 0–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Crystal Palace F.C. vs Manchester City F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Manchester City F.C. (63% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Crystal Palace F.C. vs Manchester City F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 29 Aug 2026 14:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Crystal Palace F.C. vs Manchester City F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 3 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 3.60 goals per game.