Manchester City F.C. crestManchester City F.C.vsCrystal Palace F.C. crestCrystal Palace F.C.

Manchester City F.C. vs Crystal Palace F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form

English Premier LeagueSat, 17 Apr 2027 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Manchester City F.C.73%

  • Manchester City F.C. 73%
  • Draw 18%
  • Crystal Palace F.C. 9%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Manchester City F.C., rating it at 73.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Manchester City F.C. won 4 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 18.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 228 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Manchester City F.C.: WWLWW

Crystal Palace F.C.: LLLWW

Head-to-head

As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 228 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 3.90Avg goals
  • 60%Both scored
  • 80%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-08-28Crystal Palace F.C. vs Manchester City F.C.1–4
2026-05-13Manchester City F.C. vs Crystal Palace F.C.3–0
2025-12-14Crystal Palace F.C. vs Manchester City F.C.0–3
2025-04-12Manchester City F.C. vs Crystal Palace F.C.5–2
2024-12-07Crystal Palace F.C. vs Manchester City F.C.2–2
2024-04-06Crystal Palace vs Manchester City2–4
2023-12-16Manchester City vs Crystal Palace2–2
2023-03-11Crystal Palace vs Manchester City0–1
2022-08-27Manchester City vs Crystal Palace4–2
2022-03-14Crystal Palace vs Manchester City0–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Manchester City F.C. vs Crystal Palace F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Manchester City F.C. (73% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Manchester City F.C. vs Crystal Palace F.C. kick off?
Sat, 17 Apr 2027 14:00 GMT — English Premier League.
What is the Manchester City F.C. vs Crystal Palace F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 3 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 3.90 goals per game.

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