Everton F.C.vs
Burnley F.C.Everton F.C. vs Burnley F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
English Premier LeagueTue, 03 Mar 2026 19:30 GMTStatus: finished
Final: Everton F.C. 2–0 Burnley F.C.
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Everton F.C.57%
- Everton F.C. 57%
- Draw 25%
- Burnley F.C. 18%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Everton F.C., rating it at 56.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and Everton F.C. won 1 of 8, with 2 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. Burnley F.C.'s last 5 produced 18 goals — 3.6 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Everton F.C.'s 5 produced 9, at 1.8 per game.
The model puts the draw at 25.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Everton F.C.: WLDWL
Burnley F.C.: DLLDL
Head-to-head
- 8Games
- 2.38Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 38%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-03 | Everton F.C. vs Burnley F.C. | 2–0 |
| 2025-12-27 | Burnley F.C. vs Everton F.C. | 0–0 |
| 2024-04-06 | Everton vs Burnley | 1–0 |
| 2023-12-16 | Burnley vs Everton | 0–2 |
| 2022-04-06 | Burnley vs Everton | 3–2 |
| 2021-09-13 | Everton vs Burnley | 3–1 |
| 2021-03-13 | Everton vs Burnley | 1–2 |
| 2020-12-05 | Burnley vs Everton | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Everton F.C. vs Burnley F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Everton F.C. (57% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Everton F.C. vs Burnley F.C. kick off?
- Tue, 03 Mar 2026 19:30 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Everton F.C. vs Burnley F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 4 home wins, 2 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.38 goals per game.