Everton F.C.vs
Leeds United F.C.Everton F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueWed, 10 Feb 2027 20:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Everton F.C. or draw75%
1X2: model backs Everton F.C. at 45% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.
- Everton F.C.
- Draw
- Leeds United F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Everton F.C. or draw75%
- Draw or Leeds United F.C.55%
- Everton F.C. or Leeds United F.C.70%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.549%
- Under 2.551%
Both teams to score
- Everton F.C., last 10 home games5 of 10
- Leeds United F.C., last 10 away games6 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (370 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Everton F.C., rating it at 44.9% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and Everton F.C. won none of them. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
They arrive from very different football. Leeds United F.C.'s last 5 produced 19 goals — 3.8 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 4. Everton F.C.'s 5 produced 10, at 2.0 per game.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 119 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Everton F.C.: DWWDD
Leeds United F.C.: LDWLD
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 119 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 8Games
- 2.13Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 38%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-26 | Everton F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2025-08-18 | Leeds United F.C. vs Everton F.C. | 1–0 |
| 2023-02-18 | Everton vs Leeds United | 1–0 |
| 2022-08-30 | Leeds United vs Everton | 1–1 |
| 2022-02-12 | Everton vs Leeds United | 3–0 |
| 2021-08-21 | Leeds United vs Everton | 2–2 |
| 2021-02-03 | Leeds United vs Everton | 1–2 |
| 2020-11-28 | Everton vs Leeds United | 0–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Everton F.C. vs Leeds United F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Everton F.C. (45% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Everton F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. kick off?
- Wed, 10 Feb 2027 20:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Everton F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 3 home wins, 3 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.13 goals per game.