Leeds United F.C.vs
Everton F.C.Leeds United F.C. vs Everton F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSat, 02 Jan 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Leeds United F.C. or draw73%
1X2: model backs Leeds United F.C. at 42% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.
- Leeds United F.C.
- Draw
- Everton F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Leeds United F.C. or draw73%
- Draw or Everton F.C.58%
- Leeds United F.C. or Everton F.C.69%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.548%
- Under 2.552%
Both teams to score
- Leeds United F.C., last 10 home games3 of 10
- Everton F.C., last 10 away games5 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (370 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Leeds United F.C., rating it at 42.0% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and Leeds United F.C. won 1 of 8, with 3 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
They arrive from very different football. Leeds United F.C.'s last 5 produced 19 goals — 3.8 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 4. Everton F.C.'s 5 produced 10, at 2.0 per game.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 80 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Leeds United F.C.: LDWLD
Everton F.C.: DWWDD
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 80 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 8Games
- 2.13Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 38%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-26 | Everton F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2025-08-18 | Leeds United F.C. vs Everton F.C. | 1–0 |
| 2023-02-18 | Everton vs Leeds United | 1–0 |
| 2022-08-30 | Leeds United vs Everton | 1–1 |
| 2022-02-12 | Everton vs Leeds United | 3–0 |
| 2021-08-21 | Leeds United vs Everton | 2–2 |
| 2021-02-03 | Leeds United vs Everton | 1–2 |
| 2020-11-28 | Everton vs Leeds United | 0–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Leeds United F.C. vs Everton F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Leeds United F.C. (42% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Leeds United F.C. vs Everton F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 02 Jan 2027 15:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Leeds United F.C. vs Everton F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 3 home wins, 3 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.13 goals per game.