Everton F.C.vs
Manchester United F.C.Everton F.C. vs Manchester United F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
English Premier LeagueSat, 05 Sep 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Manchester United F.C.42%
- Everton F.C. 27%
- Draw 31%
- Manchester United F.C. 42%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Manchester United F.C., rating it at 41.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Everton F.C. won 1 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. Manchester United F.C.'s last 5 produced 17 goals — 3.4 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 3. Everton F.C.'s 5 produced 9, at 1.8 per game.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Everton F.C.: WLDWL
Manchester United F.C.: WWLWW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 2.30Avg goals
- 30%Both scored
- 40%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-23 | Everton F.C. vs Manchester United F.C. | 0–1 |
| 2025-11-24 | Manchester United F.C. vs Everton F.C. | 0–1 |
| 2025-02-22 | Everton F.C. vs Manchester United F.C. | 2–2 |
| 2024-12-01 | Manchester United F.C. vs Everton F.C. | 4–0 |
| 2024-03-09 | Manchester United vs Everton | 2–0 |
| 2023-11-26 | Everton vs Manchester United | 0–3 |
| 2023-04-08 | Manchester United vs Everton | 2–0 |
| 2022-10-09 | Everton vs Manchester United | 1–2 |
| 2022-04-09 | Everton vs Manchester United | 1–0 |
| 2021-10-02 | Manchester United vs Everton | 1–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Everton F.C. vs Manchester United F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Manchester United F.C. (42% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Everton F.C. vs Manchester United F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 05 Sep 2026 14:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Everton F.C. vs Manchester United F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 2 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 2.30 goals per game.