Everton F.C. crestEverton F.C.vsManchester United F.C. crestManchester United F.C.

Everton F.C. vs Manchester United F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form

English Premier LeagueSun, 06 Sep 2026 13:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Manchester United F.C.42%

  • Everton F.C. 27%
  • Draw 31%
  • Manchester United F.C. 42%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Manchester United F.C., rating it at 41.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Everton F.C. won 1 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 1 Sep 2026.

Everton F.C.: DWWDW

Manchester United F.C.: WLLDD

Head-to-head

As of 1 Sep 2026.

  • 10Games
  • 2.30Avg goals
  • 30%Both scored
  • 40%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-02-23Everton F.C. vs Manchester United F.C.0–1
2025-11-24Manchester United F.C. vs Everton F.C.0–1
2025-02-22Everton F.C. vs Manchester United F.C.2–2
2024-12-01Manchester United F.C. vs Everton F.C.4–0
2024-03-09Manchester United vs Everton2–0
2023-11-26Everton vs Manchester United0–3
2023-04-08Manchester United vs Everton2–0
2022-10-09Everton vs Manchester United1–2
2022-04-09Everton vs Manchester United1–0
2021-10-02Manchester United vs Everton1–1

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FAQ

Who will win Everton F.C. vs Manchester United F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Manchester United F.C. (42% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Everton F.C. vs Manchester United F.C. kick off?
Sun, 06 Sep 2026 13:00 GMT — English Premier League.
What is the Everton F.C. vs Manchester United F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 2 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 2.30 goals per game.

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