Fulham F.C. vs Burnley F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
English Premier LeagueSat, 21 Mar 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: finished
Final: Fulham F.C. 3–1 Burnley F.C.
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Fulham F.C.59%
- Fulham F.C. 59%
- Draw 23%
- Burnley F.C. 17%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Fulham F.C., rating it at 59.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 6 times, and Fulham F.C. won 2 of 6, with 2 drawn. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. Burnley F.C.'s last 5 produced 18 goals — 3.6 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Fulham F.C.'s 5 produced 10, at 2.0 per game.
The model puts the draw at 23.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Fulham F.C.: DWDLL
Burnley F.C.: DLLDL
Head-to-head
- 6Games
- 3.17Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | Fulham F.C. vs Burnley F.C. | 3–1 |
| 2025-12-13 | Burnley F.C. vs Fulham F.C. | 2–3 |
| 2024-02-03 | Burnley vs Fulham | 2–2 |
| 2023-12-23 | Fulham vs Burnley | 0–2 |
| 2021-05-10 | Fulham vs Burnley | 0–2 |
| 2021-02-17 | Burnley vs Fulham | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Fulham F.C. vs Burnley F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Fulham F.C. (59% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Fulham F.C. vs Burnley F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 21 Mar 2026 15:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Fulham F.C. vs Burnley F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 6 meetings: 1 home wins, 2 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.17 goals per game.