?
Fulham F.C. crestFulham F.C.vsBurnley F.C. crestBurnley F.C.

Fulham F.C. vs Burnley F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats

English Premier LeagueSat, 21 Mar 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: finished

Final: Fulham F.C. 31 Burnley F.C.

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Fulham F.C.59%

Fulham F.C. 59%
Draw 23%
Burnley F.C. 17%
  • Fulham F.C. 59%
  • Draw 23%
  • Burnley F.C. 17%
Market implied probability

The de-vigged market number is a PRO feature — free to start, PRO unlocks it.

Create a free account

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Fulham F.C., rating it at 59.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 6 times, and Fulham F.C. won 2 of 6, with 2 drawn. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

They arrive from very different football. Burnley F.C.'s last 5 produced 18 goals — 3.6 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Fulham F.C.'s 5 produced 10, at 2.0 per game.

The model puts the draw at 23.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Fulham F.C.: DWDLL

Burnley F.C.: DLLDL

Head-to-head

  • 6Games
  • 3.17Avg goals
  • 67%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-03-21Fulham F.C. vs Burnley F.C.3–1
2025-12-13Burnley F.C. vs Fulham F.C.2–3
2024-02-03Burnley vs Fulham2–2
2023-12-23Fulham vs Burnley0–2
2021-05-10Fulham vs Burnley0–2
2021-02-17Burnley vs Fulham1–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Fulham F.C. vs Burnley F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Fulham F.C. (59% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Fulham F.C. vs Burnley F.C. kick off?
Sat, 21 Mar 2026 15:00 GMT — English Premier League.
What is the Fulham F.C. vs Burnley F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 6 meetings: 1 home wins, 2 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.17 goals per game.

More predictions

18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are analysis, not betting advice.