Fulham F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
English Premier LeagueMon, 24 Aug 2026 19:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Chelsea F.C.36%
- Fulham F.C. 33%
- Draw 30%
- Chelsea F.C. 36%
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Chelsea F.C., rating it at 36.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Fulham F.C. won 2 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. Chelsea F.C.'s last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Fulham F.C.'s 5 produced 12, at 2.4 per game.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Chelsea F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Fulham F.C.: LWDWD
Chelsea F.C.: LLWLW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 40%Both scored
- 40%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-07 | Fulham F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2025-08-30 | Chelsea F.C. vs Fulham F.C. | 2–0 |
| 2025-04-20 | Fulham F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. | 1–2 |
| 2024-12-26 | Chelsea F.C. vs Fulham F.C. | 1–2 |
| 2024-01-13 | Chelsea FC vs Fulham | 1–0 |
| 2023-10-02 | Fulham vs Chelsea FC | 0–2 |
| 2023-02-03 | Chelsea FC vs Fulham | 0–0 |
| 2023-01-12 | Fulham vs Chelsea FC | 2–1 |
| 2021-05-01 | Chelsea FC vs Fulham | 2–0 |
| 2021-01-16 | Fulham vs Chelsea FC | 0–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Fulham F.C. vs Chelsea F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Chelsea F.C. (36% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Fulham F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. kick off?
- Mon, 24 Aug 2026 19:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Fulham F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 1 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.