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Ipswich Town F.C. crestIpswich Town F.C.vsLeicester City F.C. crestLeicester City F.C.

Ipswich Town F.C. vs Leicester City F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats

EFL ChampionshipSat, 07 Mar 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: finished

Final: Ipswich Town F.C. 11 Leicester City F.C.

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Ipswich Town F.C.67%

Ipswich Town F.C. 67%
Draw 19%
Leicester City F.C. 14%
  • Ipswich Town F.C. 67%
  • Draw 19%
  • Leicester City F.C. 14%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Ipswich Town F.C., rating it at 66.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and Ipswich Town F.C. won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 66.5% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 19.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 4 games, no win for the side we back.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Ipswich Town F.C.: WLLWD

Leicester City F.C.: LDWWW

Head-to-head

  • 4Games
  • 2.50Avg goals
  • 75%Both scored
  • 25%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-03-07Ipswich Town F.C. vs Leicester City F.C.1–1
2025-12-13Leicester City F.C. vs Ipswich Town F.C.3–1
2025-05-18Leicester City F.C. vs Ipswich Town F.C.2–0
2024-11-02Ipswich Town F.C. vs Leicester City F.C.1–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Ipswich Town F.C. vs Leicester City F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Ipswich Town F.C. (67% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Ipswich Town F.C. vs Leicester City F.C. kick off?
Sat, 07 Mar 2026 15:00 GMT — EFL Championship.
What is the Ipswich Town F.C. vs Leicester City F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 2 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.

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