Leeds United F.C.vs
Arsenal F.C.Leeds United F.C. vs Arsenal F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSat, 08 May 2027 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Arsenal F.C. to win63%
1X2: model backs Arsenal F.C. at 63%.
- Leeds United F.C.
- Draw
- Arsenal F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Leeds United F.C. or draw37%
- Draw or Arsenal F.C.85%
- Leeds United F.C. or Arsenal F.C.78%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.559%
- Under 2.541%
Both teams to score
- Leeds United F.C., last 10 home games3 of 10
- Arsenal F.C., last 10 away games5 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (370 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Arsenal F.C., rating it at 63.1% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 9 times, and Leeds United F.C. won none of them. Across 9 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 207 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Leeds United F.C.: LDWLD
Arsenal F.C.: WWLWW
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 207 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 9Games
- 3.56Avg goals
- 56%Both scored
- 78%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-10 | Arsenal F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2026-01-31 | Leeds United F.C. vs Arsenal F.C. | 0–4 |
| 2025-08-23 | Arsenal F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. | 5–0 |
| 2023-04-01 | Arsenal vs Leeds United | 4–1 |
| 2022-10-16 | Leeds United vs Arsenal | 0–1 |
| 2022-05-08 | Arsenal vs Leeds United | 2–1 |
| 2021-12-18 | Leeds United vs Arsenal | 1–4 |
| 2021-02-14 | Arsenal vs Leeds United | 4–2 |
| 2020-11-22 | Leeds United vs Arsenal | 0–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Leeds United F.C. vs Arsenal F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Arsenal F.C. (63% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Leeds United F.C. vs Arsenal F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 08 May 2027 14:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Leeds United F.C. vs Arsenal F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 9 meetings: 5 home wins, 1 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.56 goals per game.