Leeds United F.C.vs
Chelsea F.C.Leeds United F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSat, 23 Jan 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Chelsea F.C.43%
- Leeds United F.C.
- Draw
- Chelsea F.C.
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Chelsea F.C., rating it at 43.5% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Leeds United F.C. won 1 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
They arrive from very different football. Chelsea F.C.'s last 5 produced 26 goals — 5.2 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Leeds United F.C.'s 5 produced 18, at 3.6 per game.
What to keep in mind
- Chelsea F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 5.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 23 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 122 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Leeds United F.C.: DWLDD
Chelsea F.C.: LDWLW
Head-to-head
As of 23 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 122 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 3.40Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 70%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Chelsea F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. | 6–3 |
| 2026-04-26 | Chelsea F.C.(N) vs Leeds United F.C. | 1–0 |
| 2026-02-10 | Chelsea F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. | 2–2 |
| 2025-12-03 | Leeds United F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. | 3–1 |
| 2023-03-04 | Chelsea FC vs Leeds United | 1–0 |
| 2022-08-21 | Leeds United vs Chelsea FC | 3–0 |
| 2022-05-11 | Leeds United vs Chelsea FC | 0–3 |
| 2021-12-11 | Chelsea FC vs Leeds United | 3–2 |
| 2021-03-13 | Leeds United vs Chelsea FC | 0–0 |
| 2020-12-05 | Chelsea FC vs Leeds United | 3–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Leeds United F.C. vs Chelsea F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Chelsea F.C. (43% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Leeds United F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 23 Jan 2027 15:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Leeds United F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 7 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.40 goals per game.