Leeds United F.C.vs
Chelsea F.C.Leeds United F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSat, 23 Jan 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Chelsea F.C.43%
- Leeds United F.C.
- Draw
- Chelsea F.C.
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Leeds United F.C. or draw57%
- Draw or Chelsea F.C.70%
- Leeds United F.C. or Chelsea F.C.74%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.558%
- Under 2.542%
Both teams to score
- Leeds United F.C., last 10 home games3 of 10
- Chelsea F.C., last 10 away games7 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (370 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Chelsea F.C., rating it at 43.5% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Leeds United F.C. won 1 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
What to keep in mind
- Chelsea F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 5.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 102 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Leeds United F.C.: LDWLD
Chelsea F.C.: WLDWL
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 102 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 3.40Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 70%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Chelsea F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. | 6–3 |
| 2026-04-26 | Chelsea F.C.(N) vs Leeds United F.C. | 1–0 |
| 2026-02-10 | Chelsea F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. | 2–2 |
| 2025-12-03 | Leeds United F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. | 3–1 |
| 2023-03-04 | Chelsea FC vs Leeds United | 1–0 |
| 2022-08-21 | Leeds United vs Chelsea FC | 3–0 |
| 2022-05-11 | Leeds United vs Chelsea FC | 0–3 |
| 2021-12-11 | Chelsea FC vs Leeds United | 3–2 |
| 2021-03-13 | Leeds United vs Chelsea FC | 0–0 |
| 2020-12-05 | Chelsea FC vs Leeds United | 3–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Leeds United F.C. vs Chelsea F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Chelsea F.C. (43% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Leeds United F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 23 Jan 2027 15:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Leeds United F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 7 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.40 goals per game.