Chelsea F.C.vs
Leeds United F.C.Chelsea F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSat, 21 Nov 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Chelsea F.C.61%
- Chelsea F.C.
- Draw
- Leeds United F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Chelsea F.C., rating it at 61.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Chelsea F.C. won 1 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
They arrive from very different football. Chelsea F.C.'s last 5 produced 26 goals — 5.2 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Leeds United F.C.'s 5 produced 18, at 3.6 per game.
What to keep in mind
- Chelsea F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 5.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 23 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 59 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Chelsea F.C.: LDWLW
Leeds United F.C.: DWLDD
Head-to-head
As of 23 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 59 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 3.40Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 70%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Chelsea F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. | 6–3 |
| 2026-04-26 | Chelsea F.C.(N) vs Leeds United F.C. | 1–0 |
| 2026-02-10 | Chelsea F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. | 2–2 |
| 2025-12-03 | Leeds United F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. | 3–1 |
| 2023-03-04 | Chelsea FC vs Leeds United | 1–0 |
| 2022-08-21 | Leeds United vs Chelsea FC | 3–0 |
| 2022-05-11 | Leeds United vs Chelsea FC | 0–3 |
| 2021-12-11 | Chelsea FC vs Leeds United | 3–2 |
| 2021-03-13 | Leeds United vs Chelsea FC | 0–0 |
| 2020-12-05 | Chelsea FC vs Leeds United | 3–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Chelsea F.C. vs Leeds United F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Chelsea F.C. (61% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Chelsea F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 21 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Chelsea F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 7 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.40 goals per game.