Chelsea F.C.vs
Leeds United F.C.Chelsea F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSat, 21 Nov 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Chelsea F.C. to win61%
1X2: model backs Chelsea F.C. at 61%.
- Chelsea F.C.
- Draw
- Leeds United F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Chelsea F.C. or draw84%
- Draw or Leeds United F.C.39%
- Chelsea F.C. or Leeds United F.C.77%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.561%
- Under 2.539%
Both teams to score
- Chelsea F.C., last 10 home games7 of 10
- Leeds United F.C., last 10 away games6 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (370 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Chelsea F.C., rating it at 61.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Chelsea F.C. won 1 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
What to keep in mind
- Chelsea F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 5.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 39 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Chelsea F.C.: WLDWL
Leeds United F.C.: LDWLD
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 39 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 3.40Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 70%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Chelsea F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. | 6–3 |
| 2026-04-26 | Chelsea F.C.(N) vs Leeds United F.C. | 1–0 |
| 2026-02-10 | Chelsea F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. | 2–2 |
| 2025-12-03 | Leeds United F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. | 3–1 |
| 2023-03-04 | Chelsea FC vs Leeds United | 1–0 |
| 2022-08-21 | Leeds United vs Chelsea FC | 3–0 |
| 2022-05-11 | Leeds United vs Chelsea FC | 0–3 |
| 2021-12-11 | Chelsea FC vs Leeds United | 3–2 |
| 2021-03-13 | Leeds United vs Chelsea FC | 0–0 |
| 2020-12-05 | Chelsea FC vs Leeds United | 3–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Chelsea F.C. vs Leeds United F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Chelsea F.C. (61% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Chelsea F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 21 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Chelsea F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 7 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.40 goals per game.