Leeds United F.C. crestLeeds United F.C.vsLiverpool F.C. crestLiverpool F.C.

Leeds United F.C. vs Liverpool F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form

English Premier LeagueSat, 24 Apr 2027 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Liverpool F.C.56%

Tofiko22% / 22% / 56%
  • Leeds United F.C.
  • Draw
  • Liverpool F.C.

Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Leeds United F.C. or draw44%
  • Draw or Liverpool F.C.78%
  • Leeds United F.C. or Liverpool F.C.78%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.566%
  • Under 2.534%

Both teams to score

  • Leeds United F.C., last 10 home games3 of 10
  • Liverpool F.C., last 10 away games6 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (370 games)56%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Liverpool F.C., rating it at 56.5% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 9 times, and Leeds United F.C. won 1 of 9, with 3 drawn. Across 9 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

They arrive from very different football. Leeds United F.C.'s last 5 produced 19 goals — 3.8 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 4. Liverpool F.C.'s 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.

Recent form

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 192 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Leeds United F.C.: LDWLD

Liverpool F.C.: LWWDW

Head-to-head

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 192 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 9Games
  • 4.44Avg goals
  • 67%Both scored
  • 78%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-08-02Liverpool F.C. vs Leeds United F.C.2–4
2026-01-01Liverpool F.C. vs Leeds United F.C.0–0
2025-12-06Leeds United F.C. vs Liverpool F.C.3–3
2023-04-17Leeds United vs Liverpool1–6
2022-10-29Liverpool vs Leeds United1–2
2022-02-23Liverpool vs Leeds United6–0
2021-09-12Leeds United vs Liverpool0–3
2021-04-19Leeds United vs Liverpool1–1
2020-09-12Liverpool vs Leeds United4–3

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Leeds United F.C. vs Liverpool F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Liverpool F.C. (56% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does Leeds United F.C. vs Liverpool F.C. kick off?
Sat, 24 Apr 2027 14:00 GMT — English Premier League.
What is the Leeds United F.C. vs Liverpool F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 9 meetings: 2 home wins, 3 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 4.44 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureLiverpool vs Leeds12 Dec 2026 →