Liverpool F.C.vs
Leeds United F.C.Liverpool F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSat, 12 Dec 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Liverpool F.C. to win71%
1X2: model backs Liverpool F.C. at 71%.
- Liverpool F.C.
- Draw
- Leeds United F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Liverpool F.C. or draw89%
- Draw or Leeds United F.C.29%
- Liverpool F.C. or Leeds United F.C.82%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.571%
- Under 2.529%
Both teams to score
- Liverpool F.C., last 10 home games6 of 10
- Leeds United F.C., last 10 away games6 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (370 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Liverpool F.C., rating it at 71.2% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 9 times, and Liverpool F.C. won none of them. Across 9 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
They arrive from very different football. Leeds United F.C.'s last 5 produced 19 goals — 3.8 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 4. Liverpool F.C.'s 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 59 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Liverpool F.C.: LWWDW
Leeds United F.C.: LDWLD
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 59 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 9Games
- 4.44Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 78%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 | Liverpool F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. | 2–4 |
| 2026-01-01 | Liverpool F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. | 0–0 |
| 2025-12-06 | Leeds United F.C. vs Liverpool F.C. | 3–3 |
| 2023-04-17 | Leeds United vs Liverpool | 1–6 |
| 2022-10-29 | Liverpool vs Leeds United | 1–2 |
| 2022-02-23 | Liverpool vs Leeds United | 6–0 |
| 2021-09-12 | Leeds United vs Liverpool | 0–3 |
| 2021-04-19 | Leeds United vs Liverpool | 1–1 |
| 2020-09-12 | Liverpool vs Leeds United | 4–3 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Liverpool F.C. vs Leeds United F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Liverpool F.C. (71% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Liverpool F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 12 Dec 2026 15:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Liverpool F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 9 meetings: 2 home wins, 3 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 4.44 goals per game.