Liverpool F.C.vs
Leeds United F.C.Liverpool F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
English Premier LeagueSat, 12 Dec 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Liverpool F.C.71%
- Liverpool F.C. 71%
- Draw 18%
- Leeds United F.C. 11%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Liverpool F.C., rating it at 71.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and Liverpool F.C. won none of them. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 17.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Liverpool F.C.: WWDLD
Leeds United F.C.: WLLWD
Head-to-head
- 8Games
- 4.25Avg goals
- 63%Both scored
- 75%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-01 | Liverpool F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. | 0–0 |
| 2025-12-06 | Leeds United F.C. vs Liverpool F.C. | 3–3 |
| 2023-04-17 | Leeds United vs Liverpool | 1–6 |
| 2022-10-29 | Liverpool vs Leeds United | 1–2 |
| 2022-02-23 | Liverpool vs Leeds United | 6–0 |
| 2021-09-12 | Leeds United vs Liverpool | 0–3 |
| 2021-04-19 | Leeds United vs Liverpool | 1–1 |
| 2020-09-12 | Liverpool vs Leeds United | 4–3 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Liverpool F.C. vs Leeds United F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Liverpool F.C. (71% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Liverpool F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 12 Dec 2026 15:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Liverpool F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 2 home wins, 3 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 4.25 goals per game.