Liverpool F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSat, 12 Dec 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Liverpool F.C.71%
- Liverpool F.C.
- Draw
- Leeds United F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Liverpool F.C., rating it at 71.2% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 9 times, and Liverpool F.C. won none of them. Across 9 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
They arrive from very different football. Leeds United F.C.'s last 5 produced 18 goals — 3.6 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 4. Liverpool F.C.'s 5 produced 10, at 2.0 per game.
Recent form
As of 23 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 80 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Liverpool F.C.: WWDWW
Leeds United F.C.: DWLDD
Head-to-head
As of 23 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 80 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 9Games
- 4.44Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 78%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 | Liverpool F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. | 2–4 |
| 2026-01-01 | Liverpool F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. | 0–0 |
| 2025-12-06 | Leeds United F.C. vs Liverpool F.C. | 3–3 |
| 2023-04-17 | Leeds United vs Liverpool | 1–6 |
| 2022-10-29 | Liverpool vs Leeds United | 1–2 |
| 2022-02-23 | Liverpool vs Leeds United | 6–0 |
| 2021-09-12 | Leeds United vs Liverpool | 0–3 |
| 2021-04-19 | Leeds United vs Liverpool | 1–1 |
| 2020-09-12 | Liverpool vs Leeds United | 4–3 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Liverpool F.C. vs Leeds United F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Liverpool F.C. (71% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Liverpool F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 12 Dec 2026 15:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Liverpool F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 9 meetings: 2 home wins, 3 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 4.44 goals per game.