Leeds United F.C.vs
Manchester City F.C.Leeds United F.C. vs Manchester City F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueWed, 06 Jan 2027 20:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Manchester City F.C. to win67%
1X2: model backs Manchester City F.C. at 67%.
- Leeds United F.C.
- Draw
- Manchester City F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Leeds United F.C. or draw33%
- Draw or Manchester City F.C.86%
- Leeds United F.C. or Manchester City F.C.81%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.566%
- Under 2.534%
Both teams to score
- Leeds United F.C., last 10 home games3 of 10
- Manchester City F.C., last 10 away games4 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (370 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Manchester City F.C., rating it at 67.4% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and Leeds United F.C. won none of them. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 85 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Leeds United F.C.: LDWLD
Manchester City F.C.: WWWWW
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 85 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 8Games
- 3.63Avg goals
- 63%Both scored
- 75%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-28 | Leeds United F.C. vs Manchester City F.C. | 0–1 |
| 2025-11-29 | Manchester City F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. | 3–2 |
| 2023-05-06 | Manchester City vs Leeds United | 2–1 |
| 2022-12-28 | Leeds United vs Manchester City | 1–3 |
| 2022-04-30 | Leeds United vs Manchester City | 0–4 |
| 2021-12-14 | Manchester City vs Leeds United | 7–0 |
| 2021-04-10 | Manchester City vs Leeds United | 1–2 |
| 2020-10-03 | Leeds United vs Manchester City | 1–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Leeds United F.C. vs Manchester City F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Manchester City F.C. (67% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Leeds United F.C. vs Manchester City F.C. kick off?
- Wed, 06 Jan 2027 20:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Leeds United F.C. vs Manchester City F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 3 home wins, 1 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 3.63 goals per game.