Manchester City F.C.vs
Leeds United F.C.Manchester City F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueWed, 02 Dec 2026 20:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Manchester City F.C. to win77%
1X2: model backs Manchester City F.C. at 77%.
- Manchester City F.C.
- Draw
- Leeds United F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.
More markets
Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Manchester City F.C. or draw92%
- Draw or Leeds United F.C.23%
- Manchester City F.C. or Leeds United F.C.85%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.573%
- Under 2.527%
Both teams to score
- Manchester City F.C., last 10 home games6 of 10
- Leeds United F.C., last 10 away games6 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (370 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Manchester City F.C., rating it at 76.9% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and Manchester City F.C. won 2 of 8, with 1 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 50 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Manchester City F.C.: WWWWW
Leeds United F.C.: LDWLD
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 50 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 8Games
- 3.63Avg goals
- 63%Both scored
- 75%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-28 | Leeds United F.C. vs Manchester City F.C. | 0–1 |
| 2025-11-29 | Manchester City F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. | 3–2 |
| 2023-05-06 | Manchester City vs Leeds United | 2–1 |
| 2022-12-28 | Leeds United vs Manchester City | 1–3 |
| 2022-04-30 | Leeds United vs Manchester City | 0–4 |
| 2021-12-14 | Manchester City vs Leeds United | 7–0 |
| 2021-04-10 | Manchester City vs Leeds United | 1–2 |
| 2020-10-03 | Leeds United vs Manchester City | 1–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Manchester City F.C. vs Leeds United F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Manchester City F.C. (77% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Manchester City F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. kick off?
- Wed, 02 Dec 2026 20:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Manchester City F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 3 home wins, 1 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 3.63 goals per game.