Manchester City F.C.vs
Leeds United F.C.Manchester City F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
English Premier LeagueWed, 02 Dec 2026 20:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Manchester City F.C.77%
- Manchester City F.C. 77%
- Draw 15%
- Leeds United F.C. 8%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Manchester City F.C., rating it at 76.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and Manchester City F.C. won 2 of 8, with 1 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 15.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Manchester City F.C.: DLDWW
Leeds United F.C.: WLLWD
Head-to-head
- 8Games
- 3.63Avg goals
- 63%Both scored
- 75%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-28 | Leeds United F.C. vs Manchester City F.C. | 0–1 |
| 2025-11-29 | Manchester City F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. | 3–2 |
| 2023-05-06 | Manchester City vs Leeds United | 2–1 |
| 2022-12-28 | Leeds United vs Manchester City | 1–3 |
| 2022-04-30 | Leeds United vs Manchester City | 0–4 |
| 2021-12-14 | Manchester City vs Leeds United | 7–0 |
| 2021-04-10 | Manchester City vs Leeds United | 1–2 |
| 2020-10-03 | Leeds United vs Manchester City | 1–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Manchester City F.C. vs Leeds United F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Manchester City F.C. (77% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Manchester City F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. kick off?
- Wed, 02 Dec 2026 20:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Manchester City F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 3 home wins, 1 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 3.63 goals per game.