Liverpool F.C.vs
Burnley F.C.Liverpool F.C. 1-1 Burnley F.C. — Result, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSat, 17 Jan 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Liverpool F.C.77%
- Liverpool F.C. 77%
- Draw 16%
- Burnley F.C. 7%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Liverpool F.C., rating it at 76.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and Liverpool F.C. won 1 of 8, with 1 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 15.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Liverpool F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026.
Liverpool F.C.: DDWLL
Burnley F.C.: LDLDD
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026.
- 8Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 25%Both scored
- 25%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 | Liverpool F.C. vs Burnley F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2025-09-14 | Burnley F.C. vs Liverpool F.C. | 0–1 |
| 2024-02-10 | Liverpool vs Burnley | 3–1 |
| 2023-12-26 | Burnley vs Liverpool | 0–2 |
| 2022-02-13 | Burnley vs Liverpool | 0–1 |
| 2021-08-21 | Liverpool vs Burnley | 2–0 |
| 2021-05-19 | Burnley vs Liverpool | 0–3 |
| 2021-01-21 | Liverpool vs Burnley | 0–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Liverpool F.C. vs Burnley F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Liverpool F.C. (77% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Liverpool F.C. vs Burnley F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 17 Jan 2026 15:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Liverpool F.C. vs Burnley F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 5 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.