Liverpool F.C.vs
Fulham F.C.Liverpool F.C. vs Fulham F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
English Premier LeagueSat, 12 Sep 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Liverpool F.C.66%
- Liverpool F.C. 66%
- Draw 21%
- Fulham F.C. 13%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Liverpool F.C., rating it at 65.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Liverpool F.C. won 1 of 10, with 4 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. Liverpool F.C.'s last 5 produced 21 goals — 4.2 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. Fulham F.C.'s 5 produced 12, at 2.4 per game.
The model puts the draw at 21.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Liverpool F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Liverpool F.C.: LWWDL
Fulham F.C.: LWDWD
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 3.40Avg goals
- 70%Both scored
- 60%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | Liverpool F.C. vs Fulham F.C. | 2–0 |
| 2026-01-04 | Fulham F.C. vs Liverpool F.C. | 2–2 |
| 2025-04-06 | Fulham F.C. vs Liverpool F.C. | 3–2 |
| 2024-12-14 | Liverpool F.C. vs Fulham F.C. | 2–2 |
| 2024-04-21 | Fulham vs Liverpool | 1–3 |
| 2023-12-03 | Liverpool vs Fulham | 4–3 |
| 2023-05-03 | Liverpool vs Fulham | 1–0 |
| 2022-08-06 | Fulham vs Liverpool | 2–2 |
| 2021-03-07 | Liverpool vs Fulham | 0–1 |
| 2020-12-13 | Fulham vs Liverpool | 1–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Liverpool F.C. vs Fulham F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Liverpool F.C. (66% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Liverpool F.C. vs Fulham F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 12 Sep 2026 14:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Liverpool F.C. vs Fulham F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 4 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.40 goals per game.