Manchester United F.C.vs
Liverpool F.C.Manchester United F.C. vs Liverpool F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSat, 23 Jan 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Liverpool F.C.38%
- Manchester United F.C.
- Draw
- Liverpool F.C.
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Manchester United F.C. or draw62%
- Draw or Liverpool F.C.65%
- Manchester United F.C. or Liverpool F.C.73%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.559%
- Under 2.541%
Both teams to score
- Manchester United F.C., last 10 home games7 of 10
- Liverpool F.C., last 10 away games6 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (370 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Liverpool F.C., rating it at 37.8% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Manchester United F.C. won 2 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 101 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Manchester United F.C.: LDDLL
Liverpool F.C.: LWWDW
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 101 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 3.80Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 90%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | Manchester United F.C. vs Liverpool F.C. | 3–2 |
| 2025-10-19 | Liverpool F.C. vs Manchester United F.C. | 1–2 |
| 2025-01-05 | Liverpool F.C. vs Manchester United F.C. | 2–2 |
| 2024-09-01 | Manchester United F.C. vs Liverpool F.C. | 0–3 |
| 2024-04-07 | Manchester United vs Liverpool | 2–2 |
| 2023-12-17 | Liverpool vs Manchester United | 0–0 |
| 2023-03-05 | Liverpool vs Manchester United | 7–0 |
| 2022-08-22 | Manchester United vs Liverpool | 2–1 |
| 2022-04-19 | Liverpool vs Manchester United | 4–0 |
| 2021-10-24 | Manchester United vs Liverpool | 0–5 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Manchester United F.C. vs Liverpool F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Liverpool F.C. (38% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Manchester United F.C. vs Liverpool F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 23 Jan 2027 15:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Manchester United F.C. vs Liverpool F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 3 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.80 goals per game.