Liverpool F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSat, 10 Apr 2027 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Liverpool F.C. to win63%
1X2: model backs Liverpool F.C. at 63%.
- Liverpool F.C.
- Draw
- Newcastle United F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Liverpool F.C. or draw85%
- Draw or Newcastle United F.C.37%
- Liverpool F.C. or Newcastle United F.C.78%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.564%
- Under 2.536%
Both teams to score
- Liverpool F.C., last 10 home games6 of 10
- Newcastle United F.C., last 10 away games6 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (370 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Liverpool F.C., rating it at 62.6% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Liverpool F.C. won 3 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 178 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Liverpool F.C.: LWWDW
Newcastle United F.C.: LWLWD
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 178 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 3.70Avg goals
- 70%Both scored
- 70%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Newcastle United F.C. vs Liverpool F.C. | 2–2 |
| 2026-01-31 | Liverpool F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C. | 4–1 |
| 2025-08-25 | Newcastle United F.C. vs Liverpool F.C. | 2–3 |
| 2025-02-26 | Liverpool F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C. | 2–0 |
| 2024-12-04 | Newcastle United F.C. vs Liverpool F.C. | 3–3 |
| 2024-01-01 | Liverpool vs Newcastle | 4–2 |
| 2023-08-27 | Newcastle vs Liverpool | 1–2 |
| 2023-02-18 | Newcastle vs Liverpool | 0–2 |
| 2022-08-31 | Liverpool vs Newcastle | 2–1 |
| 2022-04-30 | Newcastle vs Liverpool | 0–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Liverpool F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Liverpool F.C. (63% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Liverpool F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 10 Apr 2027 14:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Liverpool F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 2 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 3.70 goals per game.