Liverpool F.C. crestLiverpool F.C.vsNewcastle United F.C. crestNewcastle United F.C.

Liverpool F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form

English Premier LeagueSat, 10 Apr 2027 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

Liverpool F.C. to win63%

1X2: model backs Liverpool F.C. at 63%.

Tofiko63% / 22% / 15%
  • Liverpool F.C.
  • Draw
  • Newcastle United F.C.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Liverpool F.C. or draw85%
  • Draw or Newcastle United F.C.37%
  • Liverpool F.C. or Newcastle United F.C.78%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.564%
  • Under 2.536%

Both teams to score

  • Liverpool F.C., last 10 home games6 of 10
  • Newcastle United F.C., last 10 away games6 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (370 games)56%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick Liverpool F.C., rating it at 62.6% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Liverpool F.C. won 3 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 178 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Liverpool F.C.: LWWDW

Newcastle United F.C.: LWLWD

Head-to-head

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 178 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 3.70Avg goals
  • 70%Both scored
  • 70%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-08-23Newcastle United F.C. vs Liverpool F.C.2–2
2026-01-31Liverpool F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C.4–1
2025-08-25Newcastle United F.C. vs Liverpool F.C.2–3
2025-02-26Liverpool F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C.2–0
2024-12-04Newcastle United F.C. vs Liverpool F.C.3–3
2024-01-01Liverpool vs Newcastle4–2
2023-08-27Newcastle vs Liverpool1–2
2023-02-18Newcastle vs Liverpool0–2
2022-08-31Liverpool vs Newcastle2–1
2022-04-30Newcastle vs Liverpool0–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Liverpool F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Liverpool F.C. (63% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Liverpool F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C. kick off?
Sat, 10 Apr 2027 14:00 GMT — English Premier League.
What is the Liverpool F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 2 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 3.70 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legNewcastle 2-2 Liverpool23 Aug 2026 →