Newcastle United F.C.vs
Liverpool F.C.Newcastle United F.C. vs Liverpool F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
English Premier LeagueSun, 23 Aug 2026 15:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Liverpool F.C.45%
- Newcastle United F.C. 29%
- Draw 26%
- Liverpool F.C. 45%
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Liverpool F.C., rating it at 45.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Newcastle United F.C. won none of them. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Liverpool F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Newcastle United F.C.: LDWLW
Liverpool F.C.: LWWDL
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 3.70Avg goals
- 70%Both scored
- 70%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 | Liverpool F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C. | 4–1 |
| 2025-08-25 | Newcastle United F.C. vs Liverpool F.C. | 2–3 |
| 2025-02-26 | Liverpool F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C. | 2–0 |
| 2024-12-04 | Newcastle United F.C. vs Liverpool F.C. | 3–3 |
| 2024-01-01 | Liverpool vs Newcastle | 4–2 |
| 2023-08-27 | Newcastle vs Liverpool | 1–2 |
| 2023-02-18 | Newcastle vs Liverpool | 0–2 |
| 2022-08-31 | Liverpool vs Newcastle | 2–1 |
| 2022-04-30 | Newcastle vs Liverpool | 0–1 |
| 2021-12-16 | Liverpool vs Newcastle | 3–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Newcastle United F.C. vs Liverpool F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Liverpool F.C. (45% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Newcastle United F.C. vs Liverpool F.C. kick off?
- Sun, 23 Aug 2026 15:30 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Newcastle United F.C. vs Liverpool F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 1 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 3.70 goals per game.