Liverpool F.C.vs
Newcastle United F.C.Liverpool F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSat, 10 Apr 2027 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Liverpool F.C.63%
- Liverpool F.C. 63%
- Draw 22%
- Newcastle United F.C. 15%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Liverpool F.C., rating it at 62.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Liverpool F.C. won 3 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 22.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Liverpool F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 221 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Liverpool F.C.: DDWLL
Newcastle United F.C.: WWDDL
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 221 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 3.70Avg goals
- 70%Both scored
- 70%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Newcastle United F.C. vs Liverpool F.C. | 2–2 |
| 2026-01-31 | Liverpool F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C. | 4–1 |
| 2025-08-25 | Newcastle United F.C. vs Liverpool F.C. | 2–3 |
| 2025-02-26 | Liverpool F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C. | 2–0 |
| 2024-12-04 | Newcastle United F.C. vs Liverpool F.C. | 3–3 |
| 2024-01-01 | Liverpool vs Newcastle | 4–2 |
| 2023-08-27 | Newcastle vs Liverpool | 1–2 |
| 2023-02-18 | Newcastle vs Liverpool | 0–2 |
| 2022-08-31 | Liverpool vs Newcastle | 2–1 |
| 2022-04-30 | Newcastle vs Liverpool | 0–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Liverpool F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Liverpool F.C. (63% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Liverpool F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 10 Apr 2027 14:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Liverpool F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 2 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 3.70 goals per game.