Manchester City F.C. crestManchester City F.C.vsAston Villa F.C. crestAston Villa F.C.

Manchester City F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form

English Premier LeagueSun, 23 May 2027 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Manchester City F.C.68%

Tofiko68% / 20% / 12%
  • Manchester City F.C.
  • Draw
  • Aston Villa F.C.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

Track this pick — follow it in My Picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Manchester City F.C., rating it at 68.2% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Manchester City F.C. won 1 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 23 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 242 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Manchester City F.C.: WWWWW

Aston Villa F.C.: WWLWD

Head-to-head

As of 23 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 242 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 80%Both scored
  • 70%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-05-24Manchester City F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C.1–2
2025-10-26Aston Villa F.C. vs Manchester City F.C.1–0
2025-04-22Manchester City F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C.2–1
2024-12-21Aston Villa F.C. vs Manchester City F.C.2–1
2024-04-03Manchester City vs Aston Villa4–1
2023-12-06Aston Villa vs Manchester City1–0
2023-02-12Manchester City vs Aston Villa3–1
2022-09-03Aston Villa vs Manchester City1–1
2022-05-22Manchester City vs Aston Villa3–2
2021-12-01Aston Villa vs Manchester City1–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Manchester City F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Manchester City F.C. (68% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Manchester City F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. kick off?
Sun, 23 May 2027 14:00 GMT — English Premier League.
What is the Manchester City F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 7 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are analysis, not betting advice.

Reverse fixtureAston Villa vs Manchester City24 Oct 2026 →