Manchester City F.C.vs
Liverpool F.C.Manchester City F.C. vs Liverpool F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSat, 08 May 2027 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Manchester City F.C. to win58%
1X2: model backs Manchester City F.C. at 58%.
- Manchester City F.C.
- Draw
- Liverpool F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Manchester City F.C. or draw83%
- Draw or Liverpool F.C.42%
- Manchester City F.C. or Liverpool F.C.75%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.560%
- Under 2.540%
Both teams to score
- Manchester City F.C., last 10 home games6 of 10
- Liverpool F.C., last 10 away games6 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (370 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Manchester City F.C., rating it at 57.8% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Manchester City F.C. won 3 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
They arrive from very different football. Manchester City F.C.'s last 5 produced 19 goals — 3.8 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 1. Liverpool F.C.'s 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 206 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Manchester City F.C.: WWWWW
Liverpool F.C.: LWWDW
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 206 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 2.70Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | Liverpool F.C. vs Manchester City F.C. | 0–3 |
| 2026-02-08 | Liverpool F.C. vs Manchester City F.C. | 1–2 |
| 2025-11-09 | Manchester City F.C. vs Liverpool F.C. | 3–0 |
| 2025-02-23 | Manchester City F.C. vs Liverpool F.C. | 0–2 |
| 2024-12-01 | Liverpool F.C. vs Manchester City F.C. | 2–0 |
| 2024-03-10 | Liverpool vs Manchester City | 1–1 |
| 2023-11-25 | Manchester City vs Liverpool | 1–1 |
| 2023-04-01 | Manchester City vs Liverpool | 4–1 |
| 2022-10-16 | Liverpool vs Manchester City | 1–0 |
| 2022-04-10 | Manchester City vs Liverpool | 2–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Manchester City F.C. vs Liverpool F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Manchester City F.C. (58% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Manchester City F.C. vs Liverpool F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 08 May 2027 14:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Manchester City F.C. vs Liverpool F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 3 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.70 goals per game.