Liverpool F.C. crestLiverpool F.C.vsManchester City F.C. crestManchester City F.C.

Liverpool F.C. 0-3 Manchester City F.C. — Result, H2H & Form

English Premier LeagueSun, 11 Oct 2026 15:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Manchester City F.C.42%

Tofiko35% / 23% / 42%
Market28% / 26% / 46%
  • Liverpool F.C.
  • Draw
  • Manchester City F.C.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Manchester City F.C., rating it at 42.1% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Liverpool F.C. won 2 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

They arrive from very different football. Manchester City F.C.'s last 5 produced 19 goals — 3.8 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 1. Liverpool F.C.'s 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Recent form

As of 13 Oct 2026.

Liverpool F.C.: LWWDW

Manchester City F.C.: WWWWW

Head-to-head

As of 13 Oct 2026.

  • 10Games
  • 2.70Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-10-11Liverpool F.C. vs Manchester City F.C.0–3
2026-02-08Liverpool F.C. vs Manchester City F.C.1–2
2025-11-09Manchester City F.C. vs Liverpool F.C.3–0
2025-02-23Manchester City F.C. vs Liverpool F.C.0–2
2024-12-01Liverpool F.C. vs Manchester City F.C.2–0
2024-03-10Liverpool vs Manchester City1–1
2023-11-25Manchester City vs Liverpool1–1
2023-04-01Manchester City vs Liverpool4–1
2022-10-16Liverpool vs Manchester City1–0
2022-04-10Manchester City vs Liverpool2–2

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FAQ

Who will win Liverpool F.C. vs Manchester City F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Manchester City F.C. (42% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Liverpool F.C. vs Manchester City F.C. kick off?
Sun, 11 Oct 2026 15:30 GMT — English Premier League.
What is the Liverpool F.C. vs Manchester City F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 3 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.70 goals per game.

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Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureManchester City vs Liverpool8 May 2027 →