Liverpool F.C. crestLiverpool F.C.vsManchester City F.C. crestManchester City F.C.

Liverpool F.C. vs Manchester City F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form

English Premier LeagueSun, 11 Oct 2026 15:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Manchester City F.C.41%

Tofiko31% / 28% / 41%
  • Liverpool F.C.
  • Draw
  • Manchester City F.C.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Manchester City F.C., rating it at 40.8% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Liverpool F.C. won 2 of 10, with 4 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 23 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 18 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Liverpool F.C.: WWDWW

Manchester City F.C.: WWWWW

Head-to-head

As of 23 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 18 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 2.80Avg goals
  • 60%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-02-08Liverpool F.C. vs Manchester City F.C.1–2
2025-11-09Manchester City F.C. vs Liverpool F.C.3–0
2025-02-23Manchester City F.C. vs Liverpool F.C.0–2
2024-12-01Liverpool F.C. vs Manchester City F.C.2–0
2024-03-10Liverpool vs Manchester City1–1
2023-11-25Manchester City vs Liverpool1–1
2023-04-01Manchester City vs Liverpool4–1
2022-10-16Liverpool vs Manchester City1–0
2022-04-10Manchester City vs Liverpool2–2
2021-10-03Liverpool vs Manchester City2–2

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FAQ

Who will win Liverpool F.C. vs Manchester City F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Manchester City F.C. (41% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Liverpool F.C. vs Manchester City F.C. kick off?
Sun, 11 Oct 2026 15:30 GMT — English Premier League.
What is the Liverpool F.C. vs Manchester City F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 4 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.80 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureManchester City vs Liverpool8 May 2027 →