Liverpool F.C. 0-3 Manchester City F.C. — Result, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSun, 11 Oct 2026 15:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Manchester City F.C.42%
- Liverpool F.C.
- Draw
- Manchester City F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Manchester City F.C., rating it at 42.1% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Liverpool F.C. won 2 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
They arrive from very different football. Manchester City F.C.'s last 5 produced 19 goals — 3.8 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 1. Liverpool F.C.'s 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.
What to keep in mind
- Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Recent form
As of 13 Oct 2026.
Liverpool F.C.: LWWDW
Manchester City F.C.: WWWWW
Head-to-head
As of 13 Oct 2026.
- 10Games
- 2.70Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | Liverpool F.C. vs Manchester City F.C. | 0–3 |
| 2026-02-08 | Liverpool F.C. vs Manchester City F.C. | 1–2 |
| 2025-11-09 | Manchester City F.C. vs Liverpool F.C. | 3–0 |
| 2025-02-23 | Manchester City F.C. vs Liverpool F.C. | 0–2 |
| 2024-12-01 | Liverpool F.C. vs Manchester City F.C. | 2–0 |
| 2024-03-10 | Liverpool vs Manchester City | 1–1 |
| 2023-11-25 | Manchester City vs Liverpool | 1–1 |
| 2023-04-01 | Manchester City vs Liverpool | 4–1 |
| 2022-10-16 | Liverpool vs Manchester City | 1–0 |
| 2022-04-10 | Manchester City vs Liverpool | 2–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Liverpool F.C. vs Manchester City F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Manchester City F.C. (42% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Liverpool F.C. vs Manchester City F.C. kick off?
- Sun, 11 Oct 2026 15:30 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Liverpool F.C. vs Manchester City F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 3 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.70 goals per game.