Liverpool F.C.vs
Manchester City F.C.Liverpool F.C. vs Manchester City F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSun, 11 Oct 2026 15:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Manchester City F.C.41%
- Liverpool F.C. 31%
- Draw 28%
- Manchester City F.C. 41%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Manchester City F.C., rating it at 40.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Liverpool F.C. won 2 of 10, with 4 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Liverpool F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 40 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Liverpool F.C.: DDWLL
Manchester City F.C.: WWLWW
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 40 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 2.80Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-08 | Liverpool F.C. vs Manchester City F.C. | 1–2 |
| 2025-11-09 | Manchester City F.C. vs Liverpool F.C. | 3–0 |
| 2025-02-23 | Manchester City F.C. vs Liverpool F.C. | 0–2 |
| 2024-12-01 | Liverpool F.C. vs Manchester City F.C. | 2–0 |
| 2024-03-10 | Liverpool vs Manchester City | 1–1 |
| 2023-11-25 | Manchester City vs Liverpool | 1–1 |
| 2023-04-01 | Manchester City vs Liverpool | 4–1 |
| 2022-10-16 | Liverpool vs Manchester City | 1–0 |
| 2022-04-10 | Manchester City vs Liverpool | 2–2 |
| 2021-10-03 | Liverpool vs Manchester City | 2–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Liverpool F.C. vs Manchester City F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Manchester City F.C. (41% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Liverpool F.C. vs Manchester City F.C. kick off?
- Sun, 11 Oct 2026 15:30 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Liverpool F.C. vs Manchester City F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 4 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.80 goals per game.