Manchester City F.C. vs Manchester United F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSat, 20 Mar 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Manchester City F.C. to win67%
1X2: model backs Manchester City F.C. at 67%.
- Manchester City F.C.
- Draw
- Manchester United F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Manchester City F.C. or draw87%
- Draw or Manchester United F.C.33%
- Manchester City F.C. or Manchester United F.C.79%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.562%
- Under 2.538%
Both teams to score
- Manchester City F.C., last 10 home games6 of 10
- Manchester United F.C., last 10 away games4 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (370 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Manchester City F.C., rating it at 66.5% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Manchester City F.C. won 2 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 157 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Manchester City F.C.: WWWWW
Manchester United F.C.: LDDLL
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 157 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 3.30Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 70%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Manchester United F.C. vs Manchester City F.C. | 0–1 |
| 2026-01-17 | Manchester United F.C. vs Manchester City F.C. | 2–0 |
| 2025-09-14 | Manchester City F.C. vs Manchester United F.C. | 3–0 |
| 2025-04-06 | Manchester United F.C. vs Manchester City F.C. | 0–0 |
| 2024-12-15 | Manchester City F.C. vs Manchester United F.C. | 1–2 |
| 2024-03-03 | Manchester City vs Manchester United | 3–1 |
| 2023-10-29 | Manchester United vs Manchester City | 0–3 |
| 2023-01-14 | Manchester United vs Manchester City | 2–1 |
| 2022-10-02 | Manchester City vs Manchester United | 6–3 |
| 2022-03-06 | Manchester City vs Manchester United | 4–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Manchester City F.C. vs Manchester United F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Manchester City F.C. (67% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Manchester City F.C. vs Manchester United F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 20 Mar 2027 15:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Manchester City F.C. vs Manchester United F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 6 home wins, 1 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.30 goals per game.