Southampton F.C.vs
Manchester City F.C.Southampton F.C. 0-0 Manchester City F.C. — Result, H2H & Form
English Premier League 2024-2025Sat, 10 May 2025 14:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Manchester City F.C.77%
- Southampton F.C. 8%
- Draw 16%
- Manchester City F.C. 77%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Manchester City F.C., rating it at 76.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 9 times, and Southampton F.C. won none of them. Across 9 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 15.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Southampton F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026.
Southampton F.C.: DWLWL
Manchester City F.C.: WWLWW
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026.
- 9Games
- 2.56Avg goals
- 44%Both scored
- 44%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | Manchester City F.C.(N) vs Southampton F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2025-05-10 | Southampton F.C. vs Manchester City F.C. | 0–0 |
| 2024-10-26 | Manchester City F.C. vs Southampton F.C. | 1–0 |
| 2023-04-08 | Southampton vs Manchester City | 1–4 |
| 2022-10-08 | Manchester City vs Southampton | 4–0 |
| 2022-01-22 | Southampton vs Manchester City | 1–1 |
| 2021-09-18 | Manchester City vs Southampton | 0–0 |
| 2021-03-10 | Manchester City vs Southampton | 5–2 |
| 2020-12-19 | Southampton vs Manchester City | 0–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Southampton F.C. vs Manchester City F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Manchester City F.C. (77% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Southampton F.C. vs Manchester City F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 10 May 2025 14:00 GMT — English Premier League 2024-2025.
- What is the Southampton F.C. vs Manchester City F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 9 meetings: 4 home wins, 3 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.56 goals per game.