Manchester United F.C. crestManchester United F.C.vsBurnley F.C. crestBurnley F.C.

Manchester United F.C. 3-2 Burnley F.C. — Result, H2H & Form

English Premier LeagueSat, 30 Aug 2025 14:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Manchester United F.C.67%

Tofiko67% / 21% / 12%
Market71% / 18% / 11%
  • Manchester United F.C.
  • Draw
  • Burnley F.C.

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Manchester United F.C., rating it at 67.0% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 8 times, and Manchester United F.C. won 1 of 8, with 3 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 23 Sep 2026.

Manchester United F.C.: DLLWD

Burnley F.C.: DLDLD

Head-to-head

As of 23 Sep 2026.

  • 8Games
  • 2.88Avg goals
  • 75%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-01-07Burnley F.C. vs Manchester United F.C.2–2
2025-08-30Manchester United F.C. vs Burnley F.C.3–2
2024-04-27Manchester United vs Burnley1–1
2023-09-23Burnley vs Manchester United0–1
2022-02-08Burnley vs Manchester United1–1
2021-12-30Manchester United vs Burnley3–1
2021-04-18Manchester United vs Burnley3–1
2021-01-12Burnley vs Manchester United0–1

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FAQ

Who will win Manchester United F.C. vs Burnley F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Manchester United F.C. (67% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Manchester United F.C. vs Burnley F.C. kick off?
Sat, 30 Aug 2025 14:00 GMT — English Premier League.
What is the Manchester United F.C. vs Burnley F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 8 meetings: 3 home wins, 3 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.88 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legBurnley 2-2 Manchester United7 Jan 2026 →