Leeds United F.C.vs
Manchester United F.C.Leeds United F.C. vs Manchester United F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSun, 18 Oct 2026 13:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Manchester United F.C.46%
- Leeds United F.C. 27%
- Draw 27%
- Manchester United F.C. 46%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Manchester United F.C., rating it at 46.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 9 times, and Leeds United F.C. won 1 of 9, with 4 drawn. Across 9 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. Manchester United F.C.'s last 5 produced 19 goals — 3.8 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Leeds United F.C.'s 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 47 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Leeds United F.C.: DWWWD
Manchester United F.C.: WLLDD
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 47 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 9Games
- 3.67Avg goals
- 78%Both scored
- 56%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 | Manchester United F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2026-04-13 | Manchester United F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. | 1–2 |
| 2026-01-04 | Leeds United F.C. vs Manchester United F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2023-02-12 | Leeds United vs Manchester United | 0–2 |
| 2023-02-08 | Manchester United vs Leeds United | 2–2 |
| 2022-02-20 | Leeds United vs Manchester United | 2–4 |
| 2021-08-14 | Manchester United vs Leeds United | 5–1 |
| 2021-04-25 | Leeds United vs Manchester United | 0–0 |
| 2020-12-20 | Manchester United vs Leeds United | 6–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Leeds United F.C. vs Manchester United F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Manchester United F.C. (46% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Leeds United F.C. vs Manchester United F.C. kick off?
- Sun, 18 Oct 2026 13:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Leeds United F.C. vs Manchester United F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 9 meetings: 2 home wins, 4 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.67 goals per game.