Manchester United F.C.vs
Leeds United F.C.Manchester United F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSat, 15 May 2027 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Manchester United F.C. to win62%
1X2: model backs Manchester United F.C. at 62%.
- Manchester United F.C.
- Draw
- Leeds United F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Manchester United F.C. or draw86%
- Draw or Leeds United F.C.38%
- Manchester United F.C. or Leeds United F.C.77%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.562%
- Under 2.538%
Both teams to score
- Manchester United F.C., last 10 home games7 of 10
- Leeds United F.C., last 10 away games6 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (370 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Manchester United F.C., rating it at 62.4% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 9 times, and Manchester United F.C. won none of them. Across 9 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 213 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Manchester United F.C.: LDDLL
Leeds United F.C.: LDWLD
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 213 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 9Games
- 3.67Avg goals
- 78%Both scored
- 56%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 | Manchester United F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2026-04-13 | Manchester United F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. | 1–2 |
| 2026-01-04 | Leeds United F.C. vs Manchester United F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2023-02-12 | Leeds United vs Manchester United | 0–2 |
| 2023-02-08 | Manchester United vs Leeds United | 2–2 |
| 2022-02-20 | Leeds United vs Manchester United | 2–4 |
| 2021-08-14 | Manchester United vs Leeds United | 5–1 |
| 2021-04-25 | Leeds United vs Manchester United | 0–0 |
| 2020-12-20 | Manchester United vs Leeds United | 6–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Manchester United F.C. vs Leeds United F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Manchester United F.C. (62% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Manchester United F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 15 May 2027 14:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Manchester United F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 9 meetings: 2 home wins, 4 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.67 goals per game.