Manchester United F.C.vs
Newcastle United F.C.Manchester United F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueWed, 06 Jan 2027 20:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Manchester United F.C. to win50%
1X2: model backs Manchester United F.C. at 50%.
- Manchester United F.C.
- Draw
- Newcastle United F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Manchester United F.C. or draw78%
- Draw or Newcastle United F.C.50%
- Manchester United F.C. or Newcastle United F.C.72%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.558%
- Under 2.542%
Both teams to score
- Manchester United F.C., last 10 home games7 of 10
- Newcastle United F.C., last 10 away games6 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (370 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Manchester United F.C., rating it at 50.5% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Manchester United F.C. won 1 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 85 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Manchester United F.C.: LDDLL
Newcastle United F.C.: LWLWD
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 85 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 2.60Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 40%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-04 | Newcastle United F.C. vs Manchester United F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2025-12-26 | Manchester United F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C. | 1–0 |
| 2025-04-13 | Newcastle United F.C. vs Manchester United F.C. | 4–1 |
| 2024-12-30 | Manchester United F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C. | 0–2 |
| 2024-05-15 | Manchester United vs Newcastle | 3–2 |
| 2023-12-02 | Newcastle vs Manchester United | 1–0 |
| 2023-04-02 | Newcastle vs Manchester United | 2–0 |
| 2022-10-16 | Manchester United vs Newcastle | 0–0 |
| 2021-12-27 | Newcastle vs Manchester United | 1–1 |
| 2021-09-11 | Manchester United vs Newcastle | 4–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Manchester United F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Manchester United F.C. (50% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Manchester United F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C. kick off?
- Wed, 06 Jan 2027 20:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Manchester United F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 7 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.60 goals per game.