Newcastle United F.C. crestNewcastle United F.C.vsManchester United F.C. crestManchester United F.C.

Newcastle United F.C. vs Manchester United F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form

English Premier LeagueWed, 02 Dec 2026 20:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Newcastle United F.C.38%

Tofiko38% / 28% / 34%
  • Newcastle United F.C.
  • Draw
  • Manchester United F.C.

Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

Remind me before kick-off

Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.

More markets

Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Newcastle United F.C. or draw66%
  • Draw or Manchester United F.C.62%
  • Newcastle United F.C. or Manchester United F.C.72%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.558%
  • Under 2.542%

Both teams to score

  • Newcastle United F.C., last 10 home games9 of 10
  • Manchester United F.C., last 10 away games4 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (370 games)56%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Newcastle United F.C., rating it at 37.6% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Newcastle United F.C. won 3 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 50 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Newcastle United F.C.: LWLWD

Manchester United F.C.: LDDLL

Head-to-head

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 50 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 2.60Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 40%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-03-04Newcastle United F.C. vs Manchester United F.C.2–1
2025-12-26Manchester United F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C.1–0
2025-04-13Newcastle United F.C. vs Manchester United F.C.4–1
2024-12-30Manchester United F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C.0–2
2024-05-15Manchester United vs Newcastle3–2
2023-12-02Newcastle vs Manchester United1–0
2023-04-02Newcastle vs Manchester United2–0
2022-10-16Manchester United vs Newcastle0–0
2021-12-27Newcastle vs Manchester United1–1
2021-09-11Manchester United vs Newcastle4–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Newcastle United F.C. vs Manchester United F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Newcastle United F.C. (38% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does Newcastle United F.C. vs Manchester United F.C. kick off?
Wed, 02 Dec 2026 20:00 GMT — English Premier League.
What is the Newcastle United F.C. vs Manchester United F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 7 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.60 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are analysis, not betting advice.

Reverse fixtureManchester United vs Newcastle6 Jan 2027 →