Newcastle United F.C. vs Manchester United F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueWed, 02 Dec 2026 20:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Newcastle United F.C.38%
- Newcastle United F.C.
- Draw
- Manchester United F.C.
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Newcastle United F.C. or draw66%
- Draw or Manchester United F.C.62%
- Newcastle United F.C. or Manchester United F.C.72%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.558%
- Under 2.542%
Both teams to score
- Newcastle United F.C., last 10 home games9 of 10
- Manchester United F.C., last 10 away games4 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (370 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Newcastle United F.C., rating it at 37.6% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Newcastle United F.C. won 3 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 50 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Newcastle United F.C.: LWLWD
Manchester United F.C.: LDDLL
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 50 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 2.60Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 40%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-04 | Newcastle United F.C. vs Manchester United F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2025-12-26 | Manchester United F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C. | 1–0 |
| 2025-04-13 | Newcastle United F.C. vs Manchester United F.C. | 4–1 |
| 2024-12-30 | Manchester United F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C. | 0–2 |
| 2024-05-15 | Manchester United vs Newcastle | 3–2 |
| 2023-12-02 | Newcastle vs Manchester United | 1–0 |
| 2023-04-02 | Newcastle vs Manchester United | 2–0 |
| 2022-10-16 | Manchester United vs Newcastle | 0–0 |
| 2021-12-27 | Newcastle vs Manchester United | 1–1 |
| 2021-09-11 | Manchester United vs Newcastle | 4–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Newcastle United F.C. vs Manchester United F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Newcastle United F.C. (38% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Newcastle United F.C. vs Manchester United F.C. kick off?
- Wed, 02 Dec 2026 20:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Newcastle United F.C. vs Manchester United F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 7 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.60 goals per game.