Newcastle United F.C. crestNewcastle United F.C.vsBurnley F.C. crestBurnley F.C.

Newcastle United F.C. 2-1 Burnley F.C. — Result, H2H & Form

English Premier LeagueSat, 06 Dec 2025 15:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Newcastle United F.C.66%

Tofiko66% / 20% / 14%
Market77% / 15% / 8%
  • Newcastle United F.C.
  • Draw
  • Burnley F.C.

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Newcastle United F.C., rating it at 66.0% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 8 times, and Newcastle United F.C. won 2 of 8. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 24 Sep 2026.

Newcastle United F.C.: WLWDW

Burnley F.C.: DLDLD

Head-to-head

As of 24 Sep 2026.

  • 8Games
  • 3.13Avg goals
  • 75%Both scored
  • 75%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-12-30Burnley F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C.1–3
2025-12-06Newcastle United F.C. vs Burnley F.C.2–1
2024-05-04Burnley vs Newcastle1–4
2023-09-30Newcastle vs Burnley2–0
2022-05-22Burnley vs Newcastle1–2
2021-12-04Newcastle vs Burnley1–0
2021-04-11Burnley vs Newcastle1–2
2020-10-03Newcastle vs Burnley3–1

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FAQ

Who will win Newcastle United F.C. vs Burnley F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Newcastle United F.C. (66% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Newcastle United F.C. vs Burnley F.C. kick off?
Sat, 06 Dec 2025 15:00 GMT — English Premier League.
What is the Newcastle United F.C. vs Burnley F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 8 meetings: 4 home wins, 0 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 3.13 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legBurnley 1-3 Newcastle30 Dec 2025 →