Newcastle United F.C. crestNewcastle United F.C.vsHull City A.F.C. crestHull City A.F.C.

Newcastle United F.C. vs Hull City A.F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form

English Premier LeagueSat, 19 Sep 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Newcastle United F.C.56%

  • Newcastle United F.C. 56%
  • Draw 26%
  • Hull City A.F.C. 18%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

Track this pick — follow it in My Picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Newcastle United F.C., rating it at 55.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

They arrive from very different football. Newcastle United F.C.'s last 5 produced 16 goals — 3.2 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. Hull City A.F.C.'s 5 produced 7, at 1.4 per game.

The model puts the draw at 25.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 18 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Newcastle United F.C.: WWDDL

Hull City A.F.C.: WDWDL

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Newcastle United F.C. vs Hull City A.F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Newcastle United F.C. (56% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Newcastle United F.C. vs Hull City A.F.C. kick off?
Sat, 19 Sep 2026 14:00 GMT — English Premier League.

More predictions

18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are analysis, not betting advice.