Newcastle United F.C.vs
Leeds United F.C.Newcastle United F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSat, 20 Mar 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Newcastle United F.C. to win58%
1X2: model backs Newcastle United F.C. at 58%.
- Newcastle United F.C.
- Draw
- Leeds United F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Newcastle United F.C. or draw82%
- Draw or Leeds United F.C.42%
- Newcastle United F.C. or Leeds United F.C.76%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.564%
- Under 2.536%
Both teams to score
- Newcastle United F.C., last 10 home games9 of 10
- Leeds United F.C., last 10 away games6 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (370 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Newcastle United F.C., rating it at 58.1% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 9 times, and Newcastle United F.C. won 1 of 9, with 4 drawn. Across 9 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 158 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Newcastle United F.C.: LWLWD
Leeds United F.C.: LDWLD
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 158 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 9Games
- 3.22Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 56%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Leeds United F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C. | 4–1 |
| 2026-01-07 | Newcastle United F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. | 4–3 |
| 2025-08-30 | Leeds United F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C. | 0–0 |
| 2023-05-13 | Leeds United vs Newcastle | 2–2 |
| 2022-12-31 | Newcastle vs Leeds United | 0–0 |
| 2022-01-22 | Leeds United vs Newcastle | 0–1 |
| 2021-09-17 | Newcastle vs Leeds United | 1–1 |
| 2021-01-26 | Newcastle vs Leeds United | 1–2 |
| 2020-12-16 | Leeds United vs Newcastle | 5–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Newcastle United F.C. vs Leeds United F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Newcastle United F.C. (58% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Newcastle United F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 20 Mar 2027 15:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Newcastle United F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 9 meetings: 3 home wins, 4 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.22 goals per game.