Newcastle United F.C. crestNewcastle United F.C.vsLeeds United F.C. crestLeeds United F.C.

Newcastle United F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form

English Premier LeagueSat, 20 Mar 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Newcastle United F.C.58%

Tofiko58% / 24% / 18%
  • Newcastle United F.C.
  • Draw
  • Leeds United F.C.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Newcastle United F.C., rating it at 58.1% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 9 times, and Newcastle United F.C. won 1 of 9, with 4 drawn. Across 9 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 21 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 180 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Newcastle United F.C.: WLWDW

Leeds United F.C.: DWLDD

Head-to-head

As of 21 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 180 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 9Games
  • 3.22Avg goals
  • 67%Both scored
  • 56%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-14Leeds United F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C.4–1
2026-01-07Newcastle United F.C. vs Leeds United F.C.4–3
2025-08-30Leeds United F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C.0–0
2023-05-13Leeds United vs Newcastle2–2
2022-12-31Newcastle vs Leeds United0–0
2022-01-22Leeds United vs Newcastle0–1
2021-09-17Newcastle vs Leeds United1–1
2021-01-26Newcastle vs Leeds United1–2
2020-12-16Leeds United vs Newcastle5–2

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FAQ

Who will win Newcastle United F.C. vs Leeds United F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Newcastle United F.C. (58% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Newcastle United F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. kick off?
Sat, 20 Mar 2027 15:00 GMT — English Premier League.
What is the Newcastle United F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 9 meetings: 3 home wins, 4 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.22 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legLeeds 4-1 Newcastle14 Sept 2026 →