Leeds United F.C. 4-1 Newcastle United F.C. — Result, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueMon, 14 Sep 2026 19:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Newcastle United F.C.40%
- Leeds United F.C.
- Draw
- Newcastle United F.C.
Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Newcastle United F.C., rating it at 39.7% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 9 times, and Leeds United F.C. won 1 of 9, with 4 drawn. Across 9 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 21 Sep 2026.
Leeds United F.C.: DWLDD
Newcastle United F.C.: WLWDW
Head-to-head
As of 21 Sep 2026.
- 9Games
- 3.22Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 56%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Leeds United F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C. | 4–1 |
| 2026-01-07 | Newcastle United F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. | 4–3 |
| 2025-08-30 | Leeds United F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C. | 0–0 |
| 2023-05-13 | Leeds United vs Newcastle | 2–2 |
| 2022-12-31 | Newcastle vs Leeds United | 0–0 |
| 2022-01-22 | Leeds United vs Newcastle | 0–1 |
| 2021-09-17 | Newcastle vs Leeds United | 1–1 |
| 2021-01-26 | Newcastle vs Leeds United | 1–2 |
| 2020-12-16 | Leeds United vs Newcastle | 5–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Leeds United F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Newcastle United F.C. (40% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Leeds United F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C. kick off?
- Mon, 14 Sep 2026 19:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Leeds United F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 9 meetings: 3 home wins, 4 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.22 goals per game.