Leeds United F.C.vs
Newcastle United F.C.Leeds United F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
English Premier LeagueSat, 12 Sep 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Newcastle United F.C.39%
- Leeds United F.C. 34%
- Draw 27%
- Newcastle United F.C. 39%
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Newcastle United F.C., rating it at 39.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and Leeds United F.C. won none of them. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Leeds United F.C.: WWLLW
Newcastle United F.C.: LDWLW
Head-to-head
- 8Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 63%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-07 | Newcastle United F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. | 4–3 |
| 2025-08-30 | Leeds United F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C. | 0–0 |
| 2023-05-13 | Leeds United vs Newcastle | 2–2 |
| 2022-12-31 | Newcastle vs Leeds United | 0–0 |
| 2022-01-22 | Leeds United vs Newcastle | 0–1 |
| 2021-09-17 | Newcastle vs Leeds United | 1–1 |
| 2021-01-26 | Newcastle vs Leeds United | 1–2 |
| 2020-12-16 | Leeds United vs Newcastle | 5–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Leeds United F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Newcastle United F.C. (39% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Leeds United F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 12 Sep 2026 14:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Leeds United F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 2 home wins, 4 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.