Leeds United F.C. crestLeeds United F.C.vsNewcastle United F.C. crestNewcastle United F.C.

Leeds United F.C. 4-1 Newcastle United F.C. — Result, H2H & Form

English Premier LeagueMon, 14 Sep 2026 19:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Newcastle United F.C.40%

Tofiko38% / 23% / 40%
Market41% / 27% / 32%
  • Leeds United F.C.
  • Draw
  • Newcastle United F.C.

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Newcastle United F.C., rating it at 39.7% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 9 times, and Leeds United F.C. won 1 of 9, with 4 drawn. Across 9 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 21 Sep 2026.

Leeds United F.C.: DWLDD

Newcastle United F.C.: WLWDW

Head-to-head

As of 21 Sep 2026.

  • 9Games
  • 3.22Avg goals
  • 67%Both scored
  • 56%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-14Leeds United F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C.4–1
2026-01-07Newcastle United F.C. vs Leeds United F.C.4–3
2025-08-30Leeds United F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C.0–0
2023-05-13Leeds United vs Newcastle2–2
2022-12-31Newcastle vs Leeds United0–0
2022-01-22Leeds United vs Newcastle0–1
2021-09-17Newcastle vs Leeds United1–1
2021-01-26Newcastle vs Leeds United1–2
2020-12-16Leeds United vs Newcastle5–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Leeds United F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Newcastle United F.C. (40% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does Leeds United F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C. kick off?
Mon, 14 Sep 2026 19:00 GMT — English Premier League.
What is the Leeds United F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 9 meetings: 3 home wins, 4 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.22 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are analysis, not betting advice.

Reverse fixtureNewcastle vs Leeds20 Mar 2027 →