Newcastle United F.C.vs
Sunderland A.F.C.Newcastle United F.C. vs Sunderland A.F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
English Premier LeagueSat, 05 Dec 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Newcastle United F.C.47%
- Newcastle United F.C. 47%
- Draw 30%
- Sunderland A.F.C. 23%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Newcastle United F.C., rating it at 47.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Newcastle United F.C. won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 47.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
- Sunderland A.F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Newcastle United F.C.: LDWLW
Sunderland A.F.C.: LLWWW
Head-to-head
- 2Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-22 | Newcastle United F.C. vs Sunderland A.F.C. | 1–2 |
| 2025-12-14 | Sunderland A.F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C. | 1–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Newcastle United F.C. vs Sunderland A.F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Newcastle United F.C. (47% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Newcastle United F.C. vs Sunderland A.F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 05 Dec 2026 15:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Newcastle United F.C. vs Sunderland A.F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.