Sunderland A.F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSat, 01 May 2027 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Sunderland A.F.C.39%
- Sunderland A.F.C.
- Draw
- Newcastle United F.C.
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Sunderland A.F.C. or draw71%
- Draw or Newcastle United F.C.61%
- Sunderland A.F.C. or Newcastle United F.C.68%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.545%
- Under 2.555%
Both teams to score
- Sunderland A.F.C., last 10 home games2 of 10
- Newcastle United F.C., last 10 away games6 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (370 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Sunderland A.F.C., rating it at 38.7% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Sunderland A.F.C. won all of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 199 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Sunderland A.F.C.: LLWLW
Newcastle United F.C.: LWLWD
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 199 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 2Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-22 | Newcastle United F.C. vs Sunderland A.F.C. | 1–2 |
| 2025-12-14 | Sunderland A.F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C. | 1–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Sunderland A.F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Sunderland A.F.C. (39% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Sunderland A.F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 01 May 2027 14:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Sunderland A.F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.