Newcastle United F.C. vs West Ham United F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
English Premier LeagueSun, 17 May 2026 16:30 GMTStatus: finished
Final: Newcastle United F.C. 3–1 West Ham United F.C.
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Newcastle United F.C.54%
- Newcastle United F.C. 54%
- Draw 26%
- West Ham United F.C. 20%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Newcastle United F.C., rating it at 54.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Newcastle United F.C. won 2 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Newcastle United F.C.: LDWLW
West Ham United F.C.: DDWWD
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 3.80Avg goals
- 80%Both scored
- 60%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | Newcastle United F.C. vs West Ham United F.C. | 3–1 |
| 2025-11-02 | West Ham United F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C. | 3–1 |
| 2025-03-10 | West Ham United F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C. | 0–1 |
| 2024-11-25 | Newcastle United F.C. vs West Ham United F.C. | 0–2 |
| 2024-03-30 | Newcastle vs West Ham United | 4–3 |
| 2023-10-08 | West Ham United vs Newcastle | 2–2 |
| 2023-04-05 | West Ham United vs Newcastle | 1–5 |
| 2023-02-04 | Newcastle vs West Ham United | 1–1 |
| 2022-02-19 | West Ham United vs Newcastle | 1–1 |
| 2021-08-15 | Newcastle vs West Ham United | 2–4 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Newcastle United F.C. vs West Ham United F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Newcastle United F.C. (54% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Newcastle United F.C. vs West Ham United F.C. kick off?
- Sun, 17 May 2026 16:30 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Newcastle United F.C. vs West Ham United F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 3 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 3.80 goals per game.