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Newcastle United F.C. crestNewcastle United F.C.vsWest Ham United F.C. crestWest Ham United F.C.

Newcastle United F.C. vs West Ham United F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats

English Premier LeagueSun, 17 May 2026 16:30 GMTStatus: finished

Final: Newcastle United F.C. 31 West Ham United F.C.

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Newcastle United F.C.54%

Newcastle United F.C. 54%
Draw 26%
West Ham United F.C. 20%
  • Newcastle United F.C. 54%
  • Draw 26%
  • West Ham United F.C. 20%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Newcastle United F.C., rating it at 54.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Newcastle United F.C. won 2 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Newcastle United F.C.: LDWLW

West Ham United F.C.: DDWWD

Head-to-head

  • 10Games
  • 3.80Avg goals
  • 80%Both scored
  • 60%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-05-17Newcastle United F.C. vs West Ham United F.C.3–1
2025-11-02West Ham United F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C.3–1
2025-03-10West Ham United F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C.0–1
2024-11-25Newcastle United F.C. vs West Ham United F.C.0–2
2024-03-30Newcastle vs West Ham United4–3
2023-10-08West Ham United vs Newcastle2–2
2023-04-05West Ham United vs Newcastle1–5
2023-02-04Newcastle vs West Ham United1–1
2022-02-19West Ham United vs Newcastle1–1
2021-08-15Newcastle vs West Ham United2–4

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Newcastle United F.C. vs West Ham United F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Newcastle United F.C. (54% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Newcastle United F.C. vs West Ham United F.C. kick off?
Sun, 17 May 2026 16:30 GMT — English Premier League.
What is the Newcastle United F.C. vs West Ham United F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 3 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 3.80 goals per game.

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