Nottingham Forest F.C.vs
Burnley F.C.Nottingham Forest F.C. vs Burnley F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
English Premier LeagueSun, 19 Apr 2026 13:00 GMTStatus: finished
Final: Nottingham Forest F.C. 4–1 Burnley F.C.
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Nottingham Forest F.C.57%
- Nottingham Forest F.C. 57%
- Draw 24%
- Burnley F.C. 19%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Nottingham Forest F.C., rating it at 57.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Nottingham Forest F.C. won 1 of 4, with 2 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 57.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 23.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Nottingham Forest F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Nottingham Forest F.C.: LWDLW
Burnley F.C.: DLLDL
Head-to-head
- 4Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-19 | Nottingham Forest F.C. vs Burnley F.C. | 4–1 |
| 2025-09-20 | Burnley F.C. vs Nottingham Forest F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2024-05-19 | Burnley vs Nottingham Forest | 1–2 |
| 2023-09-18 | Nottingham Forest vs Burnley | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Nottingham Forest F.C. vs Burnley F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Nottingham Forest F.C. (57% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Nottingham Forest F.C. vs Burnley F.C. kick off?
- Sun, 19 Apr 2026 13:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Nottingham Forest F.C. vs Burnley F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.