Sunderland A.F.C. crestSunderland A.F.C.vsAston Villa F.C. crestAston Villa F.C.

Sunderland A.F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form

English Premier LeagueSat, 06 Feb 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Sunderland A.F.C.34%

Tofiko34% / 33% / 33%
  • Sunderland A.F.C.
  • Draw
  • Aston Villa F.C.

Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Sunderland A.F.C. or draw67%
  • Draw or Aston Villa F.C.66%
  • Sunderland A.F.C. or Aston Villa F.C.67%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.542%
  • Under 2.558%

Both teams to score

  • Sunderland A.F.C., last 10 home games2 of 10
  • Aston Villa F.C., last 10 away games8 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (370 games)56%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Sunderland A.F.C., rating it at 34.1% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Sunderland A.F.C. won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
  • Aston Villa F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 116 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Sunderland A.F.C.: LLWLW

Aston Villa F.C.: DWWWL

Head-to-head

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 116 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 2Games
  • 4.50Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-19Aston Villa F.C. vs Sunderland A.F.C.4–3
2025-09-21Sunderland A.F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C.1–1

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FAQ

Who will win Sunderland A.F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Sunderland A.F.C. (34% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does Sunderland A.F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. kick off?
Sat, 06 Feb 2027 15:00 GMT — English Premier League.
What is the Sunderland A.F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 4.50 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureAston Villa vs Sunderland21 Nov 2026 →