AFC Bournemouthvs
Sunderland A.F.C.AFC Bournemouth vs Sunderland A.F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSun, 18 Oct 2026 13:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs AFC Bournemouth45%
- AFC Bournemouth 45%
- Draw 32%
- Sunderland A.F.C. 23%
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks AFC Bournemouth, rating it at 44.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and AFC Bournemouth won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 44.5% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. AFC Bournemouth's last 5 produced 23 goals — 4.6 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Sunderland A.F.C.'s 5 produced 14, at 2.8 per game.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
- AFC Bournemouth's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 47 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
AFC Bournemouth: DLLDW
Sunderland A.F.C.: WLWLW
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 47 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 2Games
- 3.50Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-28 | AFC Bournemouth vs Sunderland A.F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2025-11-29 | Sunderland A.F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth | 3–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win AFC Bournemouth vs Sunderland A.F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours AFC Bournemouth (45% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does AFC Bournemouth vs Sunderland A.F.C. kick off?
- Sun, 18 Oct 2026 13:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the AFC Bournemouth vs Sunderland A.F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.