Sunderland A.F.C. crestSunderland A.F.C.vsBurnley F.C. crestBurnley F.C.

Sunderland A.F.C. 3-0 Burnley F.C. — Result, H2H & Form

English Premier LeagueMon, 02 Feb 2026 20:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Sunderland A.F.C.58%

  • Sunderland A.F.C. 58%
  • Draw 26%
  • Burnley F.C. 16%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Sunderland A.F.C., rating it at 58.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Sunderland A.F.C. won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 58.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 25.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 1 Sep 2026.

Sunderland A.F.C.: WLWLW

Burnley F.C.: LDLDD

Head-to-head

As of 1 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 2.50Avg goals
  • 0%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-02-02Sunderland A.F.C. vs Burnley F.C.3–0
2025-08-23Burnley F.C. vs Sunderland A.F.C.2–0

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FAQ

Who will win Sunderland A.F.C. vs Burnley F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Sunderland A.F.C. (58% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Sunderland A.F.C. vs Burnley F.C. kick off?
Mon, 02 Feb 2026 20:00 GMT — English Premier League.
What is the Sunderland A.F.C. vs Burnley F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.

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